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How to file taxes like a rich man and save money

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“Tax the rich” is a popular slogan, but changing tax laws relies on the power of others. While you wait, experts recommend getting hands-on with the tax code and paying your taxes like a rich person instead.

Putting aside questions about who contributes the most to U.S. tax revenue (according to the Tax Foundation think tank, the top 1% of taxpayers paid more in income taxes in 2022 than the bottom 90% combined), some previously leaked tax returns and conversations with tax experts could provide insight into how ultra-wealthy Americans protect, transfer, and grow their wealth.

Some tactics are probably out of reach for most people, while others are simple enough to use with enough planning.

How to avoid taxes and grow wealth with a Roth IRA

Billionaire Peter Thiel famously contributed $2,000 to a Roth IRA in 1999 and used $1,700 of that to buy 1.7 million founder shares of PayPal stock. Within 20 years, his investments, including eBay’s acquisition of PayPal and his personal investment in Facebook, all made safely within the confines of a Roth IRA, have grown to $5 billion, all of which can be withdrawn tax-free when he turns 59 1/2.

Roth IRA contributions are made with after-tax dollars and can be withdrawn tax-free after investing for at least five years at age 59 1/2 or older. In contrast, traditional IRAs are funded with pre-tax dollars for upfront benefits and taxable withdrawals.

It’s unlikely that the average person will be able to find a profitable personal investment like Thiel, but even if you earn more than the established limits, you can still use a Roth IRA.

In 2025, you will be able to contribute up to $7,000 ($8,000 if you are 50 or older) to a Roth IRA as long as your modified adjusted gross income is less than $150,000 for single filers or $236,000 for married filers filing jointly. Contributions are phased out to a maximum of $165,000 for single filers and $246,000 for joint filers.

To get around these restrictions, use a so-called backdoor Roth IRA. Here’s how:

  • Use pre-tax money to contribute to a traditional IRA
  • Transfer that money to your Roth IRA
  • pay taxes. If you received a tax benefit when you contributed to a traditional IRA, you’ll need to report it as income and return it at tax time, as well as any gains you make on that money.

There’s still time to use this trick, as 2025 retirement contributions can be made by the April 15 tax deadline.

How to use losses to lower taxes

Billionaires like Amazon.com founder Jeff Bezos and Trump like to lose money because it reduces their tax burden. You can also use them on a smaller scale. Given last year’s crypto crash, this tax season might be a good time to familiarize yourself with this tactic.

If you sell investments like Bitcoin at a loss when digital assets crash in late 2025, you can use up to $3,000 a year to offset your ordinary income on federal income taxes and carry the rest forward. If you’re married and file separately, you can deduct half of that amount each year.

Unused losses can be carried forward indefinitely.

Hint: When looking for tax losses, focus on short-term losses first, because short-term and long-term losses should be used first to offset gains of the same type. According to Fidelity, these are first used to offset short-term gains, which provide the greatest benefit since they are subject to higher marginal tax rates.

caveat: The wash sale rule states that if you sell an investment at a loss and then purchase an identical or substantially identical security within 30 days before or after the sale, you will not receive tax benefits. Therefore, make sure that the investment is either no longer needed or can be easily replaced by another investment that plays a similar role in your portfolio.

Note: Cryptocurrencies and other digital assets are exempt from wash sale rules.

“Cryptocurrencies are defined and regulated as property, not securities,” said Rob Barnett, investment advisory principal and professional tax attorney at Outlook Financial Center. “If you still want to own your cryptocurrencies or take advantage of the tax benefits, you can sell or buy your cryptocurrencies instantly at a lower price.”

timing is everything

Barnett said timing large transactions can also save money. If you want to withdraw funds from your IRA for a large purchase, see if you can split the withdrawal over two calendar years.

For example, you need $300,000 to buy real estate and build a house. The land must be purchased within the next 30 days, but construction will not begin for six months, or until the next calendar year. Consider withdrawing $150,000 to purchase land. If so, wait to withdraw your next $150,000 next year.

IRA withdrawals are taxed as ordinary income for the year, so “you’re splitting your income between two tax returns,” Barnett says. “You’ll save $38,000 in taxes, plus $150,000 in benefits that weren’t immediately withdrawn.”

“Always consider the tax implications and remember it’s not about what you make, it’s about what you keep,” he said.

hire a child

If you run a business, hire kids.

You can hire them and pay them a high salary. Experts say their salaries will be deducted as business expenses and the money will be given to relatives.

If the child is a minor, there are even more tax benefits.

According to Mercer wealth advisor David Steuring, if your child:

  • Under 18: Wages are exempt from Social Security and Medicare taxes
  • Under 21 years old: Wages are exempt from federal unemployment tax

“Your child also pays no Social Security or Medicare taxes on that wage,” he wrote on his blog. “As a result, compensation paid to minor children is completely free of federal payroll taxes. Additionally, wages are fully deductible as a business expense, reducing both income and self-employment tax liability.”

Medora Lee is USA TODAY’s money, markets and personal finance reporter. Please contact us at mjlee@usatoday.com. Subscribe to our free Daily Money newsletter for personal finance tips and business news every Monday through Friday.

Israel announces brother of Michigan synagogue attacker killed in Hezbollah attack

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The Israeli military says the brother of the man who attacked a synagogue in Michigan last week was a Hezbollah commander and was recently killed in an airstrike.

Ibrahim Mohammad Ghazali, the brother of synagogue attacker Ayman Mohammad Ghazali, was killed in an Israeli Air Force airstrike in Lebanon, the Israel Defense Forces said in a statement on Sunday.

The Trump administration and U.S. law enforcement officials have not released information about Ayman Mohammad Ghazali’s brother. The FBI did not immediately respond to USA TODAY’s request for comment.

One of Ghazali’s neighbors told the Detroit Free Press, part of the USA TODAY Network, that the attacker’s brother was killed in the airstrike. Mo Baydoun, the mayor of Dearborn Heights, where the suspect lived, said in early March that he had “lost several members of my family, including my niece and nephew, in an Israeli attack on my home in Lebanon.”

Immediately after the war with Iran began on February 28, Israel launched attacks against Hezbollah in Lebanon in response to attacks by Iranian-backed militants. Lebanon’s Health Ministry announced on March 14 that Israeli airstrikes have killed 826 people and injured more than 2,000 since the start of the conflict. Reuters, citing the Israeli ambulance service, reported that the Iranian attack killed 12 people in Israel.

Ayman Mohammad Ghazali, a 41-year-old naturalized U.S. citizen, was born in Lebanon. A man died from a self-inflicted gunshot wound when he drove his truck into Temple Israel in West Bloomfield Township, Michigan, and during a shootout with two security guards, the truck burst into flames, FBI officials said.

One security guard was injured in the attack. All children and teachers at the temple school were safely evacuated.

Authorities have stepped up security around places of worship across the country in recent weeks as the war between the United States and Israel and Iran escalates.

Contributors: Andrea May Sahouri and Niraj Warikoo, Detroit Free Press.

Kathryn Palmer is USA TODAY’s political reporter. She can be reached at the following address: kapalmer@usatoday.com And to X@Kathryn Purml. Sign up for her daily politics newsletter here.

‘SNL’ trolls RFK Jr. with ‘The Pit’ sketch ‘MAHAspital’

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“Saturday Night Live” dragged a mocked shirtless Robert F. Kennedy Jr. to the emergency room this week.

For Harry Styles’ March 14 hosting duties, the singer worked as a Best Buy staff member, a European cruise host, and a White Castle drive-thru employee. But one of the most talked-about skits of the night was “MAHAspital,” a satire on President Kennedy’s “Make America Healthy Again” policy in the style of the hospital drama “The Pit.” Styles played a Dr. Robbie-like character.

In a fake promo “for people who love ‘The Pit’ but can’t stand its bogus liberal science,” the cast focused on raw milk infusions, shelved ivermectin, and suggested a “methylene blue and full moon ritual” treatment. Instead of Tylenol and defibrillators, emergency room staff touted whey powder, red light therapy masks, and a “cold rush in blue jeans.”

“If your favorite character in The Pit was the guy who punched a nurse in the face, you’re going to love MAHAspital,” the narrator advertises.

‘SNL’ trolls RFK Jr. and MAHA with ‘The Pit’ sketch

“MAHAspital” is a clear criticism of the Secretary of Health and Human Services. His recent federal actions and positions include revising pediatric vaccine guidance, questioning psychiatric drugs, and inverting the food pyramid.

As nurses triage an 80-year-old potential stroke patient, Stiles’ character suggests an alternative treatment: “What she needs is steak. She needs protein, guys!”

In another scene, a patient’s “testosterone crashes” and Ben Marshall’s character prescribes “bull semen.” Later, after a comatose patient turns out to be vegan, he says, “Well, there’s nothing we can do,” and cracks down on the patient.

The “MAHAspital” sketch, which will be “soon to be published in the Daily Wire,” culminates with the de facto MAHA leader himself entering the hospital. Kennedy, played by James Austin Johnson, is shirtless with visible veins and rides around a dead bear wearing only jeans. This is a reference to the true story of Kennedy beating a bear cub to death and then loading it into his car with the intention of skinning it and preserving the meat. However, he was late for dinner in the city, so instead he made a bear look like it had been run over by a biker in Central Park.

“Get him ready!” the satirized “SNL” Kennedy told the “MAHAspital” staff. But not for the surgery, but for the jerky. “It’s been dead for many days, but the meat is still delicious.”

This isn’t the first time “SNL” has mocked Kennedy. In November 2024, Alec Baldwin replaced President Donald Trump’s famous impersonation with Kennedy in a skit about Cabinet picks.

“Americans need people like me, a 70-year-old man with movie-star looks and a brain bug, to teach them how to be healthy,” said Baldwin’s Kennedy. Later, he said, “I place great value in a woman’s right to choose, to choose whether or not to give polio to her child.”

A blizzard swept from the highlands to the Great Lakes. Check the amount of snowfall by address

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A major winter storm is moving across the northern United States, bringing a mix of heavy snow, ice, and blizzard conditions from the highlands to the Great Lakes. Forecasters say the storm could bring record or near-record snowfall to parts of the upper Midwest.

The worst-hit areas are expected to include northern Wisconsin, Michigan’s Upper Peninsula and parts of Minnesota, where snow totals could reach 2 to 4 feet in some highlands. Strong winds will cause widespread blizzard conditions, reducing visibility to near zero and making travel hazardous across much of the region.

The heaviest snowfall will be on Sunday and Monday, with some areas seeing bands of 1 to 3 inches per hour. The combination of heavy snow and strong winds can cause power outages and roof collapses, with long-term impacts on travel and daily life.

Further south, parts of the northern highlands and central Midwest will see a mix of snow, sleet, and freezing rain. Ice buildup can make roads slippery, but low snow levels can still make travel difficult and strong winds can cause snow to blow.

Snow tracking map: Search by address

USA TODAY’s snowfall map shows snowfall amounts for the past 24, 48 and 72 hours, as well as seasonal totals starting Oct. 1. The map updates multiple times a day, so you can switch between time frames to see how snow is increasing in your area.

US Weather Watches and Warnings

Stay informed. Receive weather forecasts by text

Brandi D. Addison covers weather across the United States as a Weather Connect reporter for the USA TODAY Network. She can be reached at baddison@gannett.com..

President Trump tells TSA employees to ‘go to work’ as shutdown continues

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President Donald Trump thanked Transportation Security Administration employees and urged them to “go to work” as TSA agents are forced to work without pay due to the partial government shutdown.

President Trump took to social media on March 15 to thank current TSA employees, calling them “amazing” while blaming “radical left Democrats” for the lack of pay.

“Keep fighting for America. Go to work!” Trump wrote in a March 15 post on Truth Social. “I promise I will never forget you!!!”

President Trump’s message comes as security lines at airports across the country continue to grow and TSA agents continue to work without pay, with employees missing their full pay for the first time on Friday, March 13th.

The changes to wait times and pay are the result of a partial shutdown that began in mid-February after Congress failed to pass funding for the Department of Homeland Security, which oversees the TSA.

Approximately 50,000 TSA employees remain on the job but have not been paid their regular paychecks during the funding lapse, raising concerns about staffing shortages and absenteeism as spring break travel increases throughout March. Johnny Jones, secretary-treasurer of AFGE TSA Council 100 and a Dallas-based TSA official, previously told USA TODAY that several airport security agents are already running low on funds to cover their bills, with some reporting their bank accounts to be zero or negative.

President Trump mentioned TSA Officer Jones by name in a March 15 social media post, thanking him along with other employees who “go to work and don’t get paid.”

Officials like Jones aren’t the only ones calling for an end to the shutdown. Most recently, the CEOs of Alaska Airlines, American Airlines, Atlas Air Worldwide, Delta Air Lines, JetBlue Airways, Southwest Airlines, United Airlines, Airlines for America, FedEx, and UPS called on Congress to immediately provide funding to DHS to alleviate the pay shortfalls and long wait times people are experiencing.

Contributed by Rachel Barber and Zach Wichter, USA TODAY

Kate Perez covers national trends and breaking news for USA TODAY. You can reach her at kperez@usatodayco.com or X @katecperez_.

March Madness women’s NCAA bracket predictions: Final predictions

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Two things happened in women’s college basketball on Saturday that made the NCAA Tournament picture a little clearer.

First, the selection committee announced the top 16 seeds in alphabetical order, giving hosts an extra day to prepare and fans time to make travel arrangements. This is the first time that the Top 16 will be announced the day before Selection Sunday.

While we don’t know exactly where teams like West Virginia, North Carolina, and Minnesota will be seeded, we do know that schools like Kentucky, Maryland, and Minnesota State will not have games on campus during the opening weekend of March Madness.

The second event was the Ivy Madness title game, where Princeton defeated Harvard to win the Ivy League crown. Richmond and several other teams in the ACC and Big 12 breathed a sigh of relief that the bid-thief situation was avoided.

Had the Crimson defeated the Tigers, Harvard would have earned the Ivy’s automatic bid and Princeton would have entered as at-large, pushing the team on the wrong side of the bubble. Unfortunately, the Ivy becomes a one-bid league, ending a two-year streak of multiple teams entering the field of 68.

Choice Sunday awaits. The official bracket will be announced on ESPN at 8pm ET.

Only four pending automatic bids are scheduled to be made Sunday: Patriot League, CAA, NEC and Missouri Valley. Our final bracket predictions predict that the higher seeds will win these games.

As of the morning of March 15, the final predictions for the 68 participants in the Women’s NCAA Tournament are as follows:

fort worth 1

Storrs, Connecticut

  • 1 Yukon
  • 16 Holy Cross / FDU
  • 8 U.S.C.
  • 9 Princeton

Norman, Oklahoma

  • 5 Michigan State University
  • 12 Colorado
  • 4 Oklahoma
  • 13 Murray State University

Louisville, Kentucky

  • 6 washington
  • 11 James Madison
  • 3 Louisville
  • 14 idaho

Nashville, Tennessee

  • 7 NC state
  • 10 South Dakota
  • 2 Vanderbilt
  • 15 UTSA

sacramento 2

Los Angeles, California

  • 1 University of California, Los Angeles
  • 16 University of California, San Diego
  • 8 Tennessee
  • 9 Iowa

chapel hill, north carolina

  • 5 Maryland
  • 12 Gonzaga
  • 4 North Carolina
  • 13 Vermont

columbus ohio

  • 6 Alabama
  • 11 Arizona/Richmond
  • 3 Ohio State University
  • 14 Charleston

Baton Rouge, Louisiana

  • 7 Oregon
  • 10 Clemson
  • 2 LSUs
  • 15 South

fort worth 3

Austin, Texas

  • 1 texas
  • 16 Stephen F. Austin
  • 8 Illinois
  • 9 Oklahoma

Morgantown, West Virginia

  • 5 Kentucky
  • 12 Nebraska/Virginia
  • 4 West Virginia
  • 13 Green Bay

Fort Worth, Texas

  • 6 Notre Dame Cathedral
  • 11 Fairfield
  • 3 TCUs
  • 14 California Baptist

Iowa City, Iowa

  • 7 Texas Tech University
  • 10 Syracuse
  • 2 Iowa
  • 15 Missouri

sacramento 4

columbia south carolina

  • 1 South Carolina
  • 16 Howard/Samford
  • 8 Villanova
  • 9 Virginia Tech

Minneapolis, Minnesota

  • 5 Ole Miss
  • 12 Miami, Ohio
  • 4 Minnesota
  • 13 Western Illinois

Ann Arbor, Michigan

  • 6 baylor
  • 11 Rhode Island
  • 3 Michigan
  • 14 Jacksonville

Durham, North Carolina

  • 7 Georgia
  • 10 Colorado
  • 2 duke
  • 15 High Point

bubble watch

  • Last 4 byes: Virginia Tech, Syracuse, Clemson, Colorado
  • Last 4 ins: Richmond, Arizona, Virginia, Nebraska
  • First 4 out: BYU, North Dakota State, Mississippi State, Stanford
  • Next 4 out: Texas A&M, Utah, Kansas, Columbia

The committee appeared to send a clear indicator Saturday about recent performance issues in NCAA Tournament seeding. Some key metrics favor Kentucky and Maryland over North Carolina and West Virginia, but the Tar Heels and Mountaineers finished the season stronger. WVU won the Big 12 Tournament and North Carolina won eight of its last 10 games.

However, while it’s easy to use this thinking for the top 16 seeds, where their resumes are very strong and largely similar, it’s difficult in the bubble. Nebraska has lost seven of its last nine games and BYU had a five-game winning streak before losing to TCU in the Big 12 Tournament, but the Cornhuskers lead the Cougars by nearly 30 spots in net.

Richmond and Virginia are slightly worse than BYU in the WAB, but about 20 spots higher in the NET. Arizona State is slightly better than the Cougars in both categories.

Mississippi State has a better NET than Arizona State, but the Sun Devils have an advantage over the Bulldogs in the WAB. Mississippi State also ended the season with five straight losses, but Arizona State had two wins in the Big 12 tournament, including one over a Quad 1 opponent.

Richmond ranks in the top 50 in NET, WAB, Torbic and Herr Hoop statistical ratings, matching only Nebraska among the eight teams closest to the bubble line. The Spiders should win the at-large bid for the second year in a row.

Dolly Parton says she’s ‘very careful’ about health issues

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Dolly Parton’s work isn’t “done” anytime soon.

The 80-year-old “Jolene” hitmaker gave fans an update on her health during her keynote address on the opening day of Dollywood theme park in Tennessee.

“I missed you,” she told her fans on March 13, according to footage of her speech from local news station WVLT. During Park’s 41st season, Ms. Parton said she has been “working on a lot of things,” including writing new songs for an upcoming Broadway musical.

“You know, I’m not on tour. I’ve had some minor health issues, but we’re taking good care of them,” Parton says. “I’m just getting back to the point where I’m getting more and more exhausted from grieving Carl and so many other little things that happened and needing to get back on my feet mentally, emotionally and physically. But everything is going great. It hasn’t slowed me down.”

Despite health issues, Dolly Parton is keeping busy

Parton had good reason to reassure her fans. When she postponed a concert in Las Vegas in September due to “some formalities,” her sister’s call for prayers sparked concerns about the severity of her health problems. Parton quipped on social media: “I’m not dead yet!”

Parton told fans in an Instagram video on October 8 that she was “okay” but had “some issues” to deal with and would need “several treatments.” Parton later told fans that after losing her husband earlier this year, she “didn’t take care of” herself and “let go of a lot of things that I should have done.” In November, Parton was inducted into the International Association of Amusement Parks and Attractions Hall of Fame, but was unable to attend due to health issues.

Parton celebrated her 80th birthday on January 19th. Some of country’s biggest names, including Laney Wilson and Keith Urban, shared stories and celebrated. However, the singer herself took a laissez-faire attitude towards this milestone.

“Everyone says, ‘Well, you’re going to be 80 years old.’ Well, so what?” she said in an interview with People. “Look at what I’ve done in 80 years. It feels like we’re just getting started.”

The “9 to 5” songstress continued, “I know it sounds stupid, but I think there’s a lot to be said about age. If you allow yourself to get older, you’ll get older. I say, ‘There’s no time to get older!'” I don’t have time to think about that. That’s not what I’m thinking. ”

Parton remains busy this year as she brings her musical Dolly: The True Original Musical to the Broadway stage. She told fans that she was writing new songs and rewriting existing ones.

Dolly Parton denies dating rumors: ‘Karl Dean is waiting for me over there’

Parton was also quick to dispel dating rumors, including one about her on-stage pal, Dollywood president Eugene Norton. Parton’s husband of more than 60 years, Carl Dean Thomas, passed away in March 2025 at the age of 82.

“I know there’s a lot of rumors going around, but I’m not married to Sylvester Stallone and I’m not dating anyone. I’m not married. I think I’ll only get married once,” Parton said. “I think Karl Dean is waiting for me on the other side. If I showed up at the Pearly Gates with someone else, he wouldn’t like it. He’d say, ‘Who’s that prick?’

Contributor: Kimi Robinson

March Madness standings prediction: NCAA Tournament final standings prediction

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This day is a famous Christmas day for college basketball fans. Presents cannot be opened in the morning. Selection night begins on Sunday, when the 68-team March Madness men’s NCAA Tournament berths will be announced.

So who will be the top seed and who will face the bubble burst? We answer these questions in the final edition of USA TODAY Sports Bracketology.

The No. 1 seed appears to be in order, with Duke going to the East as the top overall seed, while Michigan, Florida and Arizona remain in their respective geographic regions of the bracket: Midwest, South and West.

The bottom of the common choices is less clear. In this year’s bubble, several contenders caught fire early in the conference tournament. Teams without a win in the postseason include Auburn, Indiana, Cincinnati and West Virginia. This paved the way for other candidates to make their case. San Diego State and Oklahoma State each won two games but fell short in the end.

One of the bubble spots went to Miami (Ohio), the MAC’s regular-season champion who lost its only game of the season in the conference tournament, creating a bid-steal situation for Akron to earn the league’s automatic spot. Texas and Missouri were able to withstand losses in the SEC Tournament and maintain their standings.

There’s still drama to come on Sunday, when five games will be played in the conference championship. If Dayton wins the Atlantic 10, it could mean any of the three aforementioned teams will be sweating when the bracket is announced.

March Madness Classification: NCAA Tournament Predictions

Teams in bold have qualified for the tournament.

March Madness Top 4

Texas, Missouri, SMU, Miami (Ohio).

First 4 outs of March Madness

Oklahoma State, San Diego State, New Mexico State, Auburn.

NCAA Tournament Bid Conference Breakdown

Multiple bid leagues: SEC (10), Big Ten (9), ACC (8), Big 12 (8), Big East (3), West Coast (3), Atlantic 10 (2), MAC (2).

The company aims to open new stores in March. 2000th is North Carolina

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Target has reached a retail milestone with the opening of its 2,000th store.

The Minneapolis-based retailer will open a watershed store on Sunday, March 15 in Fuquay-Varina, North Carolina, just southwest of Raleigh. Four other new stores will also open on the same day. Two stores are in California, and one each in Missouri and Texas.

Target plans to open more than 30 stores and renovate more than 130 stores in 2026, the company said. The expansion is part of a $5 billion capital expenditure announced by CEO Michael Fidelke during Target’s investor day on March 3.

the goal? “We are making significant changes to lead with a trend-forward assortment, enhance the guest experience, accelerate with technology, and position our team to deliver the most enjoyable experiences in retail, now and in the long term,” Fidelke said in a statement.

Target also reduced prices on more than 3,000 items on March 11th, with apparel, home goods, and daily necessities slashed by 5% to 20%.

Where will Target open new stores?

Target is opening seven new stores this spring, including five on March 15th, two of which will open on March 29th. The location is as follows.

  • 6301 Gosford Road, Bakersfield, CA (March 15)
  • 321 Woollomes Avenue, Delano, California (March 15)
  • 3444 W. Sunshine Street, Springfield, MO (March 15)
  • 3200 Gold Ring Road, Fuquay Varina, NC (March 15)
  • 655 W. Illinois Ave., Dallas, Texas (March 15)
  • 104 Sip Avenue, Jersey City, NJ (March 29)
  • 235 Prospect Avenue, West Orange, NJ (March 29)

The 2000th store, located in Fuquay-Varina, North Carolina, has a food and beverage department that is 30% larger than the company’s average store. The 148,000 square foot store also includes a CVS Pharmacy, Starbucks Café and Disney Shops at Target. The average Target store size is about 125,000 square feet, the company said.

Target plans to open more than 300 new Target stores by 2035 as part of its expansion plan. The company’s announced plans come a month after Target cut about 500 jobs in its offices and supply chain to increase pay for store workers.

Fidelke, who took over as CEO in February, announced in October that the company would cut about 1,800 positions, the company’s first major layoffs in about a decade. The company plans to lay off about 100 people at the store district level and about 400 people across supply chain sites, according to an internal email sent to employees by Adrian Costanzo, store manager, and Gretchen McCarthy, chief supply chain and logistics officer.

The company has been struggling, reporting a 2.5% drop in sales for the three months ended January 31, which includes the year-end sales period. However, Fidelke expects net sales to grow in each quarter of this year.

“Target’s strong balance sheet gives it the financial headway to execute on its expansion plans,” Carol Levenson, director of research at Gimme Credit, said in a research note. But Levenson said he remains “skeptical of a miraculous turnaround.”

Contributed by: Reuters

Mike Snyder is a national trends news reporter for USA TODAY. You can follow him on Threads, Bluesky, and X, and email him at: mike snyder & @mikegsnider.bsky.social & @mikesnider & msnider@usatoday.com.

‘SNL’ privately mocks President Trump over rising gas prices

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“Saturday Night Live,” hosted by Harry Styles, addressed the soaring market price amid the cold release and also delved into the controversy surrounding Timothée Chalamet’s ballet and opera.

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“Saturday Night Live” focuses on rising gas prices, and also includes a ballet by Timothée Chalamet.

The sketch show began its March 14 episode with a cold open about a family of four filling up at a gas station and struggling to pay for it, prompting an appearance by President Donald Trump, played by James Austin Johnson.

“Hello, this is Donald Trump,” he told the audience as his family remained frozen behind him. “You may remember me from campaign promises like ‘lower gas prices’ and ‘no more wars.’ Damn! We love making promises because they’re just lies that haven’t happened yet. But now they are, and gas costs like a million, a billion dollars a gallon.”

“The stock market is going in one direction: down,” Johnson’s Trump added, referencing the music of that night’s “SNL” host Harry Styles. He also explained that gas prices are “very high because of the war with Iran. Iran is producing gas. I wish someone had told me that.”

In the cold open, he also addressed Chalamet’s recent controversial statement that “no one cares” about ballet or opera anymore. The “Marty Supreme” actor made the comment during a discussion about the survival of movie theaters.

“We’re going to win this war because Iran is old and no one likes it,” Johnson said. “Iran is like ballet and opera, and we are Timmy Chalamet.”

Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth, played by Colin Jost, also appears in the opening sketch, getting out of his car and entering the scene as beer cans are spilled.

“If you’re wondering why I was in the back seat of this random family’s car, I’ll tell you the same thing people say when they ask about our plans for Iran: I don’t know,” he said.

Hegseth went on to complain that the media was “using my actions and words to make me look stupid.”

Styles hosted the March 14 episode of “SNL” and was also the musical guest. The Grammy Award-winning singer hasn’t had a double lead role on “SNL” since 2019.

The past three cold opens on “SNL” have all focused on the war between the United States and Iran. The show’s February 28 episode aired on the same day that the United States and Israel launched a military attack on Iran, with President Trump, led by Johnson, announcing that the attack was intended to “cause untold fear, anger, and confusion in the ‘SNL’ press room.” This sketch suggested that “SNL” intended to start that week’s episode by tackling the State of the Union instead.

Last week, Jost, who plays Hegseth, declared in the opening sketch, “We’re treating Iran like a breathalyzer in my car and blowing it up.”

Who will be the next “SNL” host?

“SNL” returns with a new episode on April 4th, featuring host Jack Black and musical guest Jack White.

Colorado River water crisis and $40 billion plan to solve it

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Page, Arizona – In the middle of the desert, there is a sign that says “Be careful, the docks are slippery.”

it’s not.

In fact, there isn’t a drop of water to be seen at Antelope Point Marina, which once sat near the shores of Lake Powell, the nation’s second-largest reservoir. The sparkling Colorado River now flows along the walls of Glen Canyon some 180 feet below, completely out of sight from the docks that once floated above the water.

Rather than reflecting Arizona’s bright blue skies near the Four Corners region of the southwest, lake levels reflect the dire reality that the Colorado River is running dry. And the marked dock hangs from a 100-foot cliff, waiting for water supplies that climate scientists say will likely never come.

“The situation on the Colorado River is really, really rough. It’s terrible,” said Eric Balken, executive director of Glen Canyon Research Institute. “Everyone is at a point right now where they’re asking, ‘What the hell is going on? What are we doing?'”

Now, public land access groups are proposing a spectacularly ambitious plan to build eight large-scale desalination plants off California’s coastline, turning seawater into freshwater for agriculture and reducing demand on the deteriorating Colorado River. To meet energy needs, plants may need to be equipped with nuclear reactors.

Desalination plants are widely used in the Middle East, but they consume large amounts of electricity to produce relatively small amounts of water. No country has ever attempted anything on this scale.

The Colorado River Basin and seven states that depend on the river for water are facing significant water shortages this summer after an unusually hot and dry winter. Planners with the Idaho-based Blue Ribbon Coalition say their $40 billion proposal offers a viable long-term solution at a time when President Donald Trump is cutting back on environmentally-based regulations and urging the country to think big.

“At some point, we will face the harsh reality that there is no more water in the Colorado River,” said Ben Barr, the coalition’s executive director. “You can only squeeze more juice out of it.”

Some critics say the plan costs nothing and could have devastating effects on the environment.

Undeterred, the Blue Ribbon Coalition is intentionally launching a massive federal effort that built Glen Canyon and Hoover Dam and filled Lake Powell and Lake Mead with Colorado River water. These reservoir projects enabled the United States to prosper in Arizona, Nevada, and California, fueling economic growth, powering cities, and turning dusty deserts into fertile farmland.

The group’s plan is the latest ambitious idea to solve the West’s water problems. Other proposals floated over the decades included towing icebergs from Alaska and Antarctica, diverting rivers from the rainy Pacific Northwest, and even piping water thousands of miles west across the Continental Divide into the Great Lakes.

Peter Goble, Colorado’s assistant state meteorologist, said the ongoing drought is increasing pressure on Western states for solutions. He said the West is warming faster than the country as a whole, which ultimately means less water will be available to farmers, businesses and residents.

“You can’t look at the numbers and think that the Colorado River is doing well right now,” Goble said. “As the world warms, all signs point to droughts becoming more intense and more frequent.”

Drought and interstate disputes threaten river’s future

Seven states work together to manage and use the Colorado River: Arizona, California, Colorado, Nevada, New Mexico, Utah, and Wyoming.

But at the same time, prolonged drought has reduced the amount of water flowing downstream, sparking disputes between states over who gets how much for agriculture, drinking and industry. And a constant amount of water must flow from the two dams so that millions of homes and businesses can produce electricity. Mexican and Native American tribes also have water rights and a say in management.

Although California is at the end of the river, it has the legal right to use more water than any other state, primarily to grow alfalfa to feed cattle. And while California Gov. Gavin Newsom has not endorsed this specific plan, he suggested in a Feb. 11 letter to other Colorado River governors that desalination and other “advanced technologies” may eventually be needed. Newsom’s office did not respond to requests for comment specifically about the Blue Ribbon plan.

“We welcome joint investments in infrastructure, from water reuse to desalination, that can relieve pressure on Lake Powell and Lake Mead’s precious water supplies,” Newsom wrote. “Our reality is clear: We need to make do with less rain and snow each year to provide water to our communities and farms. This is a common reality and requires common solutions.”

Barr said the plants can produce 7 million acre-feet of water. One acre-foot of water, or 325,851 gallons, is equivalent to the amount used by two to three U.S. homes annually. In comparison, growing one acre of alfalfa uses 6 acre-feet of water each year, according to the University of Arizona College of Agriculture and Life Sciences.

What does the $40 billion plan include?

The Blue Ribbon Plan envisions the following:

  • There are eight large desalination plants off the coast of California and Mexico that could be powered by small nuclear power plants of the kind the White House is promoting. Power could also come from solar or wind power, but President Donald Trump has repeatedly tried to kill such projects. Barr estimated that building the factory would cost about $40 billion.
  • Power plants could be built on federal lands in the Sea of ​​Cortez and California’s Pacific coast. Doing so can limit environmental obstacles and accelerate construction. Desalination plants work by removing salt from seawater and producing hypersaline water. This water must be diluted before it can be returned to the ocean. Otherwise, it may be toxic to aquatic life.
  • The fresh water would be pumped at least 160 miles inland, reaching California’s Imperial Valley. The vast desert is now irrigated with water from the Colorado River, growing crops from alfalfa to lettuce to onions. This “new” water would allow California to relinquish some of its Colorado River allocation to other states for use.

Barr said he believes the plan, which could be privately or publicly funded, is being proposed at the right time. He said the pendulum against overregulation and environmentalism is swinging back in favor of ordinary Americans and business owners, and against environmental groups that would otherwise have blocked the construction of Lake Powell and Lake Mead.

The Blue Ribbon Group’s supporters include companies that would benefit from rising Lake Powell water levels and those that have fought to keep the water levels higher.

“I think you can see that we recognize that we need to build real infrastructure as a country, not just an environmental lawyer employment program,” Barr said. “We need a new real water system.”

Throwing seawater at the problem: ‘It’s just crazy,’ warns expert

Aaron Weiss, deputy director of the Denver-based Western First Center, thinks Blue Ribbon’s plan is laughable. The center advocates for stronger land and water conservation across the West and is bipartisan.

Weiss said the infrastructure needed to bring fresh water from the coast back upstream for farmers is staggeringly expensive, potentially adding tens of billions of dollars to total costs.

“Their solution to the problem is to throw seawater in, which is just crazy,” Weiss said. “No one has ever thought of desalinating water on such a large scale. It’s not bold. It’s just stupid. There’s no way $40 billion is even close to the actual price, based on what we know it costs to desalinate water and move water.”

Among other countries, Israel relies heavily on desalination to meet its drinking and agricultural water needs. However, according to a study by Tel Aviv University, it consumes about 5% of the country’s electricity.

Weiss said there is also great uncertainty about how desalination plants will treat the hypersaline water produced in the process. The Israeli plant mixes the water and returns it to the Mediterranean Sea, diluting it to a level that does not endanger aquatic life.

Like Barr, Weiss said low snowfall across the West this winter is putting pressure on states to find some solutions. During the Biden presidency, the federal government paid farmers billions of dollars to stop growing crops like alfalfa and free up water for other uses. But that funding is temporary, and the Trump administration is asking states to find long-term solutions.

Federal forecasters are warning that this year could be the worst year on record for Lake Powell’s water levels due to low snowfall and a warm winter. As of mid-March, the lake’s surface was 3,529 feet above sea level, down from its most recent high of 3,587 feet in 2024. Some forecasters worry that the lake could lose so much water this year that it could reach the minimum level needed to continue producing hydroelectric power, the so-called “power pool.”

The lake reached its all-time high of 3,708 feet above sea level in 1983 and has never been full since. A white “bathtub ring” remains visible from its high water mark.

According to the University of California Department of Agriculture and Natural Resources, forcing farmers to cut back on water use could raise the cost of food for Americans, but some environmental groups say the solution is to grow less alfalfa, which is sold as herds to China, Japan and Saudi Arabia. Barr said it’s foolish to pay farmers who don’t grow crops, and that money could be better spent creating more water. he asked.

But Weiss said conservation is the quickest and easiest way to reduce water use. He said the Blue Ribbon project will take decades to complete, but the Colorado River is currently in crisis.

“At the end of the day, fundamental physics takes over,” Weiss says. “Our only solution is to ensure we have a proactive way out of this situation.”

Balken, who runs the Glen Canyon Research Institute, is pushing ahead with plans to completely remove the 710-foot-tall Glen Canyon Dam, or at least retrofit it so that all Lake Powell water flows downstream to Lake Mead. Ultimately, the institute hopes to see the Colorado River return to its natural state through Glen Canyon.

“Given the low snowpack and the heat wave that’s trying to destroy the snowpack, we’re seeing the worst runoff in history at probably the worst time in history. We’re almost certainly going to see some kind of impact on Lake Powell in the near future,” Balken said. “This may be unprecedented, but it’s the most predictable disaster ever. We’ve known this moment was coming for 20 years.”

Once you turn 62, you can begin receiving Social Security benefits. But should you take it?

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Most Americans become eligible for Social Security at age 62. Unsurprisingly, that’s the most popular age to claim retirement benefits. Hi: It’s money.

But is 62 the best age to claim Social Security?

You can find hundreds of articles on this question, but the answer is not clear. The sooner you receive Social Security benefits, the larger your check will be. The longer you wait until age 70, the bigger your check gets.

But if you do the math, you’ll find compelling evidence that you should wait until age 70 to collect Social Security.

The reason is simple: human longevity. The average American retiree will live long enough to receive the most money in their lifetime if they wait until age 70 and claim the maximum monthly benefit. USA TODAY published an article in 2025 explaining that calculation.

One academic paper found that the typical retiree who files a claim before age 70 loses $182,370 in potential Social Security income.

Yet, more than 90 percent of Americans claim Social Security before age 70, and more than 1 in 5 receive their benefits at age 62.

Let’s take a closer look at some common reasons to collect Social Security at age 62. For a more personalized evaluation, visit a Social Security Optimizer, such as the one offered by T. Rowe Price.

need money

Social Security provides a monthly check until you die. If you’re 62 and no longer working and have no other income, it may make sense to take this benefit now.

“If their alternative is going to be debt, they might want to claim it early,” said Romina Boccia, director of budget and rights policy at the Cato Institute.

However, keep in mind that you could be left with $182,370.

Experts recommend considering other options. You can continue working for a few more years. If you have a lot of retirement savings, it may be better to spend it now and collect your Social Security benefits later.

“No one is going to say, ‘Get your savings to zero,'” said Monique Morrissey, senior economist at the Economic Policy Institute. “But if you have a few hundred thousand dollars, you can live on it until you’re 70.”

Lawrence Kotlikoff, an economist at Boston University and co-author of the academic paper cited above, is more categorical: To avoid receiving Social Security at age 62, you should “beg, borrow, and steal.”

you don’t expect to live long

When it comes to claiming Social Security, longevity is important.

The Motley Fool calculates that if you’re considering whether to claim benefits at age 62 or 70, your “break-even point” would be around age 80. If you live longer than that, it’s better to claim at age 70.

Many Americans are severely misinformed about human life expectancy. The average American lives to about 78 years old, so retirees often think they will die in their 70s.

However, life expectancy increases with age. At age 62, you can expect to live into your 80s.

“People are far more likely to underestimate their life expectancy than overestimate,” Morrissey said.

However, some Americans reach age 62 knowing that they will never reach 80. They may have a terminal illness or have a “genetic predisposition to certain diseases that can shorten their lifespan,” Boccia said. “Then math might look very different to them.”

Social Security is running out of money

Social Security solvency is not a minor concern. Surveys show that most U.S. workers are worried that they will lose the benefits they were promised when they retire.

Social Security could face a shortage as early as 2032. Without action from Congress, recipients could see their monthly checks cut by 28%.

Fear led many Americans to claim Social Security early. In the 2025 AARP survey, nearly a quarter of Americans ages 62 to 66 said they had decided to claim Social Security early within the past year or planned to do so.

“I think that’s the most common reason people who can afford to wait take Social Security early,” Morrissey said.

But is that a good reason?

Social Security watchers widely expect Congress to find a way to fix the program by raising more taxes, adjusting the “full” retirement age for benefits, or borrowing money.

Prime Minister Morrissey said cutting social security for retirees would be “political suicide” for those who approved the cuts. Experts say benefits cuts are likely to affect younger workers who are many years after retirement.

“I think it’s very unlikely that benefits will be cut for people who are or are nearing retirement,” said Robert Brokamp, ​​senior retirement advisor at The Motley Fool.

I want to claim early and invest my money.

As mentioned above, compelling mathematics suggests that most Americans will get the most benefit from Social Security if they wait until age 70 to claim it.

But what happens if you receive a small check at age 62 and invest the money yourself?

Before we answer that question, let’s review how the Social Security bonus system works.

For Americans born after 1960, the full Social Security retirement age is 67 years old. If you make a claim at that time, you will receive the “full” benefit. The earlier you claim, the less money you’ll get. At age 62, the minimum benefit amount is reduced by 30%.

If you claim benefits after age 67, your check will continue to grow at 8% per year. According to Kotlikoff’s calculations, the total Social Security “bonus” from ages 62 to 70 would increase monthly payments by about 76%.

The question is whether you can “win” the bonus by receiving and investing your check early.

We asked the experts that question. Short answer: Maybe. But it may not be worth the risk.

According to one Motley Fool analysis, if you earn 5% a year in Social Security contributions, you may be better off taking your benefits at age 62, even if your monthly check is smaller. This potential benefit lasts until about age 90. Even if you live longer than that, you’re better off claiming a larger Social Security check at age 70.

Brokamp said investing a Social Security check may make sense for people who don’t need the money and want to pass it on to their children.

However, this strategy has its risks and pitfalls. Perhaps the biggest risk, economists say, is the risk of investing Social Security money in unpredictable financial markets.

“Nearly all retirement experts agree that the core of your retirement savings should be kept in the safest form possible,” Morrissey said. And few investments can match the security of Social Security.

The American Dream once meant prosperity. Now, that means surviving.

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Americans are moving abroad due to rising US medical costs

Rising health care costs in the United States are driving Americans to seek affordable treatment abroad.

For decades, the “American Dream” meant upward mobility, but many young people today define it simply as achieving stability.

For them, securing housing, stable careers, health care, and education are essential steps to living well, according to a new study by the Savannah College of Art and Design’s Applied Research Studio. but, Gen Z and Millennial Americans feel their path to stability is “rockier and more precarious” than past generations, and their dreams feel “outdated or distant,” the report found.

According to the report, financial security is the most important element in young respondents’ dreams.

“Years ago, the American dream might have been to be a movie star and live in a mansion,” said Erin O’Leary, the university’s vice president for institutional effectiveness, adding that young people today “don’t even dream that high.”

Today, young people face a weak job market, rising prices that have not come down since inflation hit a 40-year high in 2022, competition from AI, deep political polarization and geopolitical tensions. They may not be the first generation to question the promise of the American Dream, but it’s no wonder they “think the American Dream is much more difficult than it was in the past,” as one Gen Z surveyed said.

Is it because living in America has become cheaper? An Investopedia analysis late last year found that it would cost $5 million over a lifetime to realize a dream.

Or is it because Americans have higher expectations for their standard of living?

“What comfort means changes over time. In our time, it means being able to own a car, having access to good health care, being able to send your kids to college, being able to pay for child care, and for parents who are working all of these jobs, being able to save for retirement,” says Dr. Elizabeth Suhay, author of the 2025 book “Debating the American Dream” and professor of government at American University. “In some ways, you don’t have to ask too much, but it’s really out of reach when you think about how expensive everything is.”

What are the biggest barriers to the American Dream for young people?

First, there are housing costs and medical costs.

Of those surveyed, 69% of young Americans said homeownership was an important aspect of their dreams, compared to 54% of the general population. But it’s also their biggest obstacle.

Griffin Creek, a 25-year-old who lives in southern Oregon and works in the IT industry, makes $20 an hour and splits the $1,500 rent on a 900-square-foot apartment with his girlfriend. He said the two of them have enough income to cover their living expenses, but they need a budget for more money.

“By making sure the math is done correctly, you can pay your bill and also go pick up $40 worth of shampoo and conditioner,” Kriek said.

He said housing costs are the biggest obstacle to realizing his dreams. The average age of first-time home buyers is now 40, so you’re wondering whether it’s a good idea to take out a 30-year mortgage that ends when you turn 70.

“Not only does that make it unattainable, but it also begs the question: Is it worth trying?” Creek said.

Across generations, a majority of respondents say health care costs are the “most important issue for the future,” but 69% of young people say access to health care is an important part of achieving the American Dream, more than the general population, and only 43% agree.

“It doesn’t mean (young people) are rejecting ambition; it still exists,” said Chandana Rao Lingampally, a Gen Z research assistant who worked on the report. “They’re saying, ‘First let me pay my rent and medical bills, and then we can talk about getting promoted.'”

Young people struggle with student loans, multiple jobs, and a tough labor market

Cheri Hall, a 66-year-old single mother in Phoenix, said she worries about the future success of her children and grandchildren because she too often has to choose between buying groceries, paying medical bills and paying utility bills.

Having spent 40 years advocating for children and volunteering, she said that while it was always difficult to meet living expenses, doing so “didn’t seem as difficult” as it does today.

Hall said her son, who lives on her property, works multiple jobs and her grandchildren, despite having advanced degrees, are unable to find opportunities in their fields in a tough job market.

“It’s tough because they have all this debt and they don’t have jobs. It used to be that if you had a good voice you could answer the phone. You can still do some things, but now a lot of things are automated.”

Of the young respondents surveyed, 10 in 10 identified student loan debt as a major barrier to achieving their dreams.

What else do young people consider part of the American Dream?

A stable career and access to a good education are more important to the definition of dreams for young people than for the average person.

While some of these generational gaps may reflect broader societal changes, they may also speak to the fact that young people are experiencing financial pressures for the first time.

“We’re targeting 18 to 29-year-olds, and they’re exactly at the age where they’re experiencing some of these systems,” O’Leary said. “When you experience those stressors for the first time, you’re going to feel elated.”

The most significant difference between young people and the general population was the importance of ‘belonging to a community’ as part of their dreams. 61% of younger respondents said it was important, compared to just 27% of adults overall.

Creek, who grew up in the 2000s, said the dream symbolized the opportunity for everyone to get a well-paying job, buy a home and live “in peace.”

“My main reference is the ‘pursuit of happiness’ passage in the Declaration of Independence,” Creek said, adding that he doesn’t know if Americans today are guaranteed that right. “It’s sad that you’ve been sold something all your childhood, and then you go out and see it in action and think, oh, we’re not really like that.”

Do people still believe you can achieve the American Dream?

The report concluded that while the dream is in a “transitional period,” its core ideas remain relevant across generations and ideologies, no matter how they are defined.

But whether you believe it can be achieved may depend on who you ask.

According to a Pew Research survey, 53% of Americans say that dream is still achievable in 2024, an additional 41% say the dream was once achievable but is now impossible, and 6% said it will never be possible. While a smaller number of Americans overall (11%) felt that that dream was never realistic, Black Americans were about twice as likely to say so compared to other groups.

People’s own identities and circumstances seem to shape how they view their dreams. While a majority of adults over 50 said they still believed it was within reach, that number dropped to 42% of those under 50.

High-income Americans are more optimistic than those struggling to make ends meet, with 64% of high-income people saying the dream still exists, compared to just 39% of low-income adults.

If you ask Hall, she’ll tell you she’s living her version of the American dream. It’s different from the stories she heard when she was little. She doesn’t own a “nice house” or buy a new car every two years. But she redefined it.

“Life isn’t easy, and it shouldn’t be. We should work, but we shouldn’t work ourselves to death,” Hall said. “One of the things we’ve learned as we get older is that we’re working, working, working, working, and we’re supposed to be in our golden years, but we’re so tired and weary. … We’re still looking for ways to work and generate money, because the things we thought we could live on, we just can’t do.”

Still, Hall said she has the freedom to go wherever she wants and do whatever she wants, even though she “owns nothing.” it represents a dream for her.

“I have people who love me. I have great support. I have a lot of kids around me. We cook together. I teach them,” Hall said. “I’m so happy. I have everything in the world. What do you need?”

Contact Rachel Barber at rbarber@usatoday.com and follow her at X @rachelbarber_

Will the Fed cut interest rates? Cloud photo of the economic impact of the Iran war

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Forecasters widely expect the U.S. Federal Reserve to keep its benchmark interest rate unchanged at the end of its two-day meeting on March 18, as policymakers consider the economic impact of the ongoing war with Iran.

In addition to the U.S. going to war, a lot has happened since the Federal Open Market Committee kept interest rates unchanged at its target range of 3.5% to 3.75% at its last meeting in January, after cutting rates three times late last year.

The Bureau of Labor Statistics’ employment data for January and February sent mixed signals about the labor market, with stronger-than-expected growth in January and job losses in February. CPI inflation has slowed since policymakers last met, but economists want to see data for March because the latest numbers do not reflect the recent spike in oil prices. Rising oil prices could ripple through the supply chain and push up other prices.

Meanwhile, the Bureau of Economic Analysis has revised down its GDP growth forecast for the fourth quarter of 2025 by 0.7% from the initial forecast of 1.4%, from 4.4% in the previous quarter.

Now, concerns about stagflation are resurfacing. Wells Fargo economists said in a March 12 memo that high inflation and a weak labor market are the committee’s “worst nightmare” as it juggles the dual mandate of keeping price stability and unemployment low.

What’s going on with the job market and inflation?

The BLS reports that the U.S. economy added 126,000 jobs in January, but lost an estimated 92,000 jobs in February (now revised downward). The unemployment rate fell from 4.4% in December to 4.3% in January, but returned to 4.4% in February.

CPI inflation fell from 2.7% in December to 2.4% in January and February. While this may be a sign that prices are stabilizing under normal circumstances, it does not reflect the potential inflationary impact of the Iran war. Core PCE, one of the Fed’s preferred inflation measures, rose 3.1% in January from a year earlier, the highest level in more than a year.

Despite all the developments since the last FOMC meeting, Boston University economics professor Brian Bethune said the Fed’s dilemma remains the same.

“Tariffs are a supply shock. Oil prices are a supply shock. Well, guess what? A central banker’s worst nightmare is a supply shock, because it puts upward pressure on inflation and downward pressure on employment,” Bethune said. “There is no easy path to interest rates.”

Liz Thomas, head of investment strategy at SoFi, added that if Fed policymakers are faced with stagnant or rising inflation and a weak labor market, “they may have to choose which one to target because they don’t have the tools to solve for both.”

What are the economic consequences of the Iran war?

The US decision to go to war continues to shock Wall Street. Iran controls the Strait of Hormuz, which normally transports about 20% of the world’s oil supplies, which has halted most traffic, sending oil prices soaring and creating instability.

Much of the economic impact of war is determined by how long it lasts. U.S. consumers are already paying more for fuel, and some companies are adding fuel surcharges to prices.

“The futures market is pricing this in as a short-term disruption,” said Matt Dizok, chief investment office fixed income strategy officer at Bank of America and Merrill. “That might give the Fed some comfort in considering it.”

Bethune said tapping into strategic oil reserves could help ease the demand pinch, but easing sanctions on Russian oil would have little impact on global oil prices.

“Who is Russia allied with? Iran.” Bethune said. “If Russia increases oil revenues and increases support for Iran, the war will be prolonged.”

Will rising oil prices accelerate inflation?

For high oil prices to lead to sustained increases in inflation, Dizok said, consumers would have to keep buying at the same pace as before, which typically happens when people feel positive about job prospects, consumer confidence is high and consumers have significant savings.

None of that is true at this point, he said.

“In our opinion, tariffs have not led to large or sustained increases in inflation because they are one-time price increases that people adjust to. People are buying less of certain things,” Dizock said. “The same thing could happen with short-term increases in energy prices.”

Bethune said that while the tariffs did result in some price increases for consumers, implementation was more gradual and subtle than expected, so it’s not surprising that they did not cause the higher levels of inflation that he had initially expected. He added that companies have shouldered much of the remaining costs by adjusting supply chains and reducing employment, thereby reducing labor costs without significantly changing consumer behavior.

Now, if oil prices remain high, these companies will face new cost pressures and have few or no alternatives to oil. The question is whether productivity gains can be extracted again from a flat workforce, especially amid low income growth, Bethune said.

When will the Fed adjust interest rates?

Forecasters expect the FOMC to keep interest rates unchanged at its March and April meetings, increasing the likelihood of a rate cut in the summer.

However, the March decision is not expected to be unanimous, especially after Trustees Stephen Millan and Christopher Waller opposed the committee’s decision to hold interest rates in January.

“Governors Millan and Waller are likely unconvinced that the labor market is stabilizing, and perhaps want to ‘see’ a supply-side oil shock, a view with which we have much sympathy,” Wells Fargo economists said in a note. “However, as inflation enters its sixth year and rises above 2%, there are signs that some of the committee’s hawks are feeding into further inflation shocks.”

Oxford Economics expects the Fed to cut interest rates in June and September as core inflation slows.

Interest rate decisions for March will be announced along with the FOMC’s economic forecast summary. The quarterly report includes members’ forecasts on the appropriate path for interest rates, as well as forecasts for gross domestic product (GDP) growth, unemployment and inflation.

Is Mr. Powell’s tenure on the FOMC nearing an end?

The post-rate decision press conference could be Chairman Jerome Powell’s penultimate as his term ends in May. It is unclear whether Mr. Powell will remain on the Fed’s board, his term ending in January 2028. He has refused to answer this question at previous meetings.

The March meeting will be the first since President Trump nominated former Federal Reserve Director Kevin Warsh to be the next central bank chairman. Warsh’s confirmation has stalled in the Senate, where Sen. Thom Tillis (R-North Carolina), He vowed to block any Fed nominations until the Justice Department’s ongoing investigation into Mr. Powell is resolved. A federal judge on March 13 blocked subpoenas issued to the Federal Reserve Board in connection with that investigation, but the Justice Department plans to appeal the ruling.

“The government has presented virtually no evidence to impugn Chairman Powell’s crimes. In fact, its justifications are so tenuous and baseless that the court can only conclude that they are pretexts,” Chief U.S. District Judge James Boasberg said in the ruling.

On March 13, Mr. Tillis strengthened his stance to block the appointment of a new chairman.

“This ruling confirms how weak and frivolous Chairman Powell’s criminal investigation is, and is nothing short of a failed attack on the Fed’s independence,” Tillis said in a post. “We all know how this will end, and the DCUS Attorney’s Office should move forward without further embarrassment. Appealing the ruling will only delay Kevin Warsh’s confirmation as the next Fed Chairman.”

Another lawsuit involving Federal Reserve President Lisa Cook continues to plague the central bank. After President Trump tried to fire her in 2021 over allegations that she committed mortgage fraud, Cook denied any wrongdoing and the case went to the nation’s highest court. The Supreme Court heard oral arguments in January but has not yet issued a decision.

Contact Rachel Barber rbarber@usatoday.com X Follow her at @rachelbarber_

Kurdish fighters seek Trump’s help in ground war with Iran

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As the war against Iran enters its third week, the White House says ground forces are “not part of the plan.” Veteran Kurdish fighters told USA TODAY they disagree.

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On a Kurdish base near the border with Iran – Military boots could soon cross the land into the Islamic Republic of Iran from this terrain of fertile valleys, deep canyons and ancient Mesopotamian trade routes beneath the mountainous border that separates Iraq and Iran.

It may not be an American thing.

As the US-Israel war against Iran enters its third week, the White House says ground operations are “not part of the plan at this time.” President Donald Trump has reportedly claimed that Iran is “surrendering,” but there have been no such signs from the Iranian government. Israeli and U.S. officials say the war is aimed at crippling Iran’s long-range ballistic missile arsenal and nuclear program while cornering key figures in Iran’s clerical regime.

Still, as the war continues on an uncertain trajectory, exiled Iranian Kurdish opposition leaders and fighters (Peshmerga, meaning “those facing death” in English) told USA TODAY they are ready to launch an invasion plan. All they are waiting for, they say, is U.S. military air cover to begin the operation.

“When we cross the border, the United States should secure the sky and protect us from the air,” Rebaz Sharifi, commander of the Kurdistan Freedom Party (PAK), an Iranian Kurdish separatist group based in northern Iraq, said in an interview on March 11. “We don’t need and don’t expect people to take to the streets,” he said, referring to President Trump’s Feb. 28 statement at the time of his request. Once the bombing campaign begins, the Iranians will “take over your government. It’s yours.” Israeli leaders have made similar comments.

USA TODAY interviewed Sharifi at a PAK base north of Erbil, the capital of Iraq’s Kurdistan Region. The base resembled a barracks more than an operational military facility. It is built along the banks of the Great Zab River, which meanders through northeastern Iraq. Some specific details about the facility have not been made public at the request of Kurdish military commanders.

Iranian drones: cheap, fast and deadly

Since the outbreak of the war, Iranian-backed militias in Iran and Iraq have repeatedly fired drones and missiles at bases like this one, as well as the U.S. consulate in Erbil and the headquarters of the U.S.-led Global Coalition to Defeat Islamic State at Erbil International Airport. Many are intercepted by air defense systems.

But not all.

Shortly before a USA TODAY reporter arrived at the PAK base, an Iranian drone came down while encircling farmland. There was no explosion. Nearby, fighter jets were showing off their drone strikes. They explained how the attack was carried out by two types of Iranian-made “Shahed” drones. These are known as “kamikaze” drones because they are cheap to produce, fast, are not designed to fly back, and are difficult to stop.

When USA TODAY visited another Kurdish military base associated with the Komala Party (KPIK) in Iranian Kurdistan on March 12, a reporter was abruptly ordered to evacuate by the group’s commander due to a possible drone attack. The KPIK base is located in a rocky mountainous region near the Iranian border. The fighter was wearing camouflage clothing that blended into the sand-colored background. The base could not be reached without climbing a steep slope.

At one point during the climb, about 20 Peshmerga fighters stood on either side of the narrow path, chanting slogans such as “Women, Life, Freedom” and “Long Live Kurdistan’s Resistance.”

The female and male combatants range in age from their late teens to those in their 50s and 60s.

“We will be able to return to Iran soon,” said one of the fighters, who did not give his name.

Kurds: repression, shifting alliances, betrayal

Kurds are the fourth largest ethnic group in the Middle East, with an estimated population of 36 million to 45 million people worldwide, according to the Kurdish Institute in Paris, an independent cultural and research center. However, they do not have a single country to call their own, and are scattered mainly in western Iran, Iraq, Syria, Armenia, and Turkey.

For more than a century, the Kurds have endured oppression, shifting alliances and repeated betrayals by Israel, the United States and others. They are routinely pursued by Iran and Türkiye, which consider some Kurdish militias to be terrorist organizations. Some Kurdish groups have been fighting a decades-long insurgency against the Turkish state.

In the 1970s, then allies the United States and Iran armed Iraqi Kurdish rebels in an effort to weaken the Iraqi government in Baghdad. However, after the Shah of Iran secured territorial rights from Iraq in 1975, he abruptly cut off aid to the Kurds with the approval of the United States. Four years later, the Iranian monarch was overthrown in the 1979 Islamic Revolution. This pattern was repeated in 1991 when the United States called on Kurdish Iraqis to rise up against Saddam Hussein. A rebellion ensued. Washington refused to intervene as the regime violently repressed them.

“We have no friends but the mountains” is a well-worn Kurdish proverb.

For now, it’s not particularly clear whether they have any friends in the US president.

President Trump has made contradictory statements about supporting Kurdish rebels as proxy ground forces in the war against Iran, including potentially providing arms or air support to them as they attempt to launch an invasion. Kurds are one of Iran’s largest ethnic minorities. According to the London think tank Chatham House, there are an estimated 7 million to 15 million Kurds in Iran (about 8 to 17 percent of Iran’s total population).

On March 5, President Trump responded to a reporter’s question about the possibility of Iranian Kurdish forces launching attacks against Iran from bases in Iraqi Kurdistan, saying, “I think it’s great that they want to do that. I’m all for it.” Two days later, he reversed course, saying, “The war is complicated enough without involving the Kurds.”

Arming the Kurds: what it means

The Peshmerga do not have a single universally agreed upon number of fighters, as the military is divided into different political groups and chains of command. British government estimates put the total number of personnel at around 150,000, but it is unclear how many of them are active duty soldiers.

Seth Franzman is a veteran journalist and Middle East analyst based in Israel and a part-time fellow at the Washington-based think tank Foundation for Defense of Democracies. He has covered Kurdish issues for more than 10 years. He said Kurdish Iranian rebel fighters mainly carry small arms, including AK-47 rifles.

He said that even if the U.S. military decided to provide assistance, it was unclear what kind of weapons and logistics would be available quickly. That’s because training and getting weapons in the hands takes time, and U.S. soldiers may need to be involved in an “advise and support” capacity. When the United States supported and armed Syria’s Kurdish-led Syrian Defense Forces to defeat the Islamic State militant group, it took years for that defeat to become a reality, he said.

On March 13, U.S. officials told USA TODAY that the United States is strengthening its presence in the Middle East by sending an additional 2,500 Marines amid an increase in attacks by Iran in the Strait of Hormuz. Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Alaghushi said in a recent interview with NBC News that Iran is preparing for the deployment of US ground forces. “We are waiting for them,” Araghchi said, adding: “We are confident that we will be able to confront them, but if we do, it will be a big disaster for them.”

He did not mention Iranian Kurdish fighters.

President Trump’s confusing message in Kurdish

Despite Kurdish fighters receiving mixed messages from the Trump administration, a new coalition of exiled Iranian Kurdish groups, including the PAK, colluded to exploit the changing balance of power in Iran and the regime’s vulnerabilities ahead of and after military action against Iran by Israel and the United States.

Khalid Azizi, a spokesman for the Democratic Party of Iranian Kurdistan (PDKI), which is part of this coalition, traveled to Washington last week to secure meetings with key Trump administration officials, seek to shore up aid to the Kurds and, ideally, procure U.S. military drones to protect them from Iran.

“We received a message from President Trump that he supports the Kurdish case, that he supports the Kurds, that he supports the establishment of democracy in Iran, that he wants regime change or some kind of change within Iran so that the Iranian people can live a better life. Things like that,” Azizi said. He himself was injured in 2018 when an Iranian missile struck the PDKI headquarters in Koya, southeast of Erbil.

Azizi said the coalition had “some contacts” with U.S. officials “underground” but did not elaborate on the term. He said he had no information about reports that the CIA was working to arm Kurdish forces in order to incite a popular uprising in Iran. He noted that Kurdish groups have been in contact with U.S. officials for years, but the ongoing war in Iran has created uncertainty in the relationship.

The CIA did not respond to requests for comment.

“President Trump has been very reserved,” Azizi said. “We have not received a clear message.” It is unclear whether Mr. Azizi was able to meet with Trump administration officials while in Washington.

Sharifi, the PAK military commander, said that Peshmerga fighters like him have “distanced themselves” from many aspects of daily life “in order to achieve the rights of the people and the freedom of the state.”

He said the Kurds do not need a popular uprising in Iran. What they need, he said, is for the United States and Israel to “open a passage for us so we can get into Iranian territory. Once that happens, they will understand what we can do.”

He said the Kurds have confidence in Trump, seeing him as a “strong and capable man who knows very well how to manage wars in the Middle East.” He said no previous U.S. president could have done anything like this.

Younes Mohammad reported from the Kurdistan region of Iraq.

Kim Hjelmgaard is an investigative journalist who covers global news from living rooms to war zones for USA TODAY. He is based in London.

Contributor: Cybele Mayes-Osterman in Washington.

Stream Oscar-nominated movies now at home

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Haven’t seen the Academy Award nominees One Battle After Another or The Sinners yet? Available on streaming services.

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Time is running out! There are only a few days left until the 98th Academy Awards, so it’s time to catch up on the Oscar movies you missed.

Get busy before your big night by watching Best Picture nominees, Best Acting movies, and other nominees. The Oscars ceremony on March 15 will be hosted by Conan O’Brien and will be broadcast live on ABC and Hulu (7 p.m. ET/4 p.m. PT). The night’s key players will be available to watch at home via streaming services and on-demand platforms.

Here are 20 nominated movies you can watch from your couch right now.

“Blue Moon”

Ethan Hawke’s vivid portrayal of the famous lyricist Lorenz Hart earned him an Oscar nomination for Best Actor and an Original Screenplay nomination. Richard Linklater revisits the afterparty for the 1943 “Oklahoma” premiere. A freshly drunk Hart tries to maintain some sense of pride as he holds court in a hotel bar, obsessing over college student Elizabeth (Margaret Qualley) and toasting his old partner Richard Rodgers’ (Andrew Scott) big night.

Where to watch: Netflix, Apple TV, Amazon, Fandango at Home

“Bugonia”

Yorgos Lanthimos’s gonzo comedy/psychological romp, nominated for Best Picture and Best Original Screenplay, captures the weirdness of the dark web and sci-fi paranoia. Emma Stone, nominated for Best Actress, plays a pharmaceutical company CEO who is kidnapped by her two conspiracy theorist cousins ​​(Jesse Plemons and Aidan Delvis) who believe she is an alien plotting to take over the world, leading to a battle for her legacy and a violently chaotic climax.

Where to watch: Peacock, Apple TV, Amazon, Fandango at Home

“Elio”

Pixar returns to its long-held Oscar category (Best Animated Film) with this family-friendly sci-fi adventure that takes you back to the 1980s era of The Explorers and The Last Starfighter. A boy (voiced by Jonas Kibreb) longs to be abducted by aliens, and his wish actually comes true, and he becomes best friends with the fat alien. If you’re looking to watch the nominated films with your kids, it’s perfect for kids who have never seen ET.

Where to watch: Disney+, Apple TV, Amazon, Fandango at Home

“F1: The Movie”

Joseph Kosinski’s F1 movie came out of nowhere and was nominated for four Oscars, including Best Picture. As an aging hired driver for a small racing team, Brad Pitt brings a lot of personality and some very brave steel to this four-wheeler. There’s plenty of macho bravado and gritty action scenes, as Pitt’s eccentric F1 veteran plays the reluctant mentor of a rising star (Damson Idris).

Where to watch: Apple TV, Amazon, Fandango at Home

“Frankenstein”

Guillermo del Toro’s thoughtful and moving adaptation of Mary Shelley’s legendary work won Best Picture out of nine Oscar nominations. Victor Frankenstein (Oscar Isaac) is a selfish scientist who plays God and creates life with creatures made from discarded human parts (Supporting Actor nominee Jacob Elordi). Come enjoy the Gothic majesty and watch Elordi’s stunning and emotional performance as a creature trying to be human in an inhuman world.

Where to watch: Netflix

“Hamnet”

Prepare to be emotionally overwhelmed by the time you finish watching Chloé Zhao’s heartfelt look at William Shakespeare’s family life, which has been nominated for eight Oscars, including Best Picture, Best Director, and Best Adapted Screenplay. Best Actress favorite Jessie Buckley is absolutely sensational as Agnes, who marries Will (Paul Mescal) and raises their children while the Bard works in London. The tragedy leads to resentment and disconnection between the two, but it also ultimately leads to the creation of “Hamlet” and different ways of dealing with grief.

Where to watch: Apple TV, Amazon, Fandango at Home, Peacock

“If I had legs, I’d kick them.”

Exhausted and stressed, Rose Byrne is sure to be nominated for Best Actress in this dark comedy. She plays a therapist who is forced to survive a series of increasingly crazy and exhausting misadventures. After a water accident causes the ceiling in her apartment to collapse, she moves to a nearby hotel with her sick daughter (Delaney Quinn) and develops a passive-aggressive relationship with her therapist (Conan O’Brien), but is shocked when a new client (Danielle Macdonald) pops out during a session without her baby.

Where to watch: Apple TV, Amazon, Fandango at Home, HBO Max

“It was just an accident.”

Nominated for the International Film Award and Best Original Screenplay, Jafar Panahi’s thriller is an unforgettable mix of serious moral questions and clever screwball comedy. After a family member runs over a dog with his car, a car mechanic (Vahid Mobaseli) kidnaps the driver (Ebrahim Azizi), believing him to be his torturer in an Iranian prison. A breathtaking modern-day fable that then brings in other former political prisoners who must figure out if he is the tormentor and what to do with him.

Where to watch: Apple TV, Amazon, Fandango at Home, Hulu

“KPop Demon Hunters”

Catchy music, anime style, and horror combine in this kid-friendly action-comedy, making it an Oscar-nominated film that kids and others will absolutely love. When the members of Korean pop trio Huntrix aren’t busy being megastars, they protect fans from paranormal dangers. But dark secrets and hormones become a problem thanks to their latest enemy, a demon disguised as a hunky boy band. The ear-splitting hit “Golden” has a pretty good chance of winning several Oscars, not to mention whether it’s an original song or an animated film.

Where to watch: Netflix

“The Lost Bus”

This ultra-intense thriller based on the tragic 2018 Camp Fire in California has earned a spot in the best visual effects race. Matthew McConaughey plays a bus driver who is already stressed out by the harsh conditions in the country when wildfires start ravaging his town. He is called upon to take the school’s students to safety, and with the help of a teacher (America Ferrera), he overcomes the frightening challenges of chaotic traffic, fallen power lines, and numerous blazes.

Where to watch: apple tv

“Marty Supreme”

“Uncut Gems” was not nominated for Best Picture, but Josh Safdie’s other great panic attack film, a sports comedy set in the world of ping pong in the 1950s, was nominated for Best Picture. Shoe salesman Marty Moser (Best Actor nominee Timothée Chalamet) will do anything to become a table tennis champion. He is also selfish and vain, and his pursuit of glory draws a variety of players into his chaotic world, from Marty’s childhood best friend (Odessa Azion) to a famous actress (Gwyneth Paltrow).

Where to watch: Apple TV, Amazon, Fandango at Home

“Next Battle”

Director Paul Thomas Anderson’s action drama, which won 13 Oscars, including Best Picture, stars Best Actor nominee Leonardo DiCaprio as a scruffy former demolition expert desperately searching for his teenage daughter (Chase Infinity) and being chased by his nemesis (Sean Penn). A lofty and empathetic piece of world-building inspired by Thomas Pynchon’s Vineland, One Battle features a diverse cast of revolutionaries and villains, as well as contemporary themes and political satire.

Where to watch: HBO Max, Apple TV, Amazon, Fandango at Home

“The Perfect Neighbor”

Told almost entirely through police body camera footage, the best documentary favorite centers on an increasingly hostile conflict between an elderly white woman and the parents of the mostly black children she reprimands, leading to a tragedy that shakes the neighborhood. This is a gripping, heartbreaking true story about how fear and prejudice can easily go too far.

Where to watch: Netflix

“The Secret Agent”

Kleber Mendonça Filho’s political thriller set in the 1970s has nabbed a Best Picture slot and is the top contender in the international film category. However, its popularity skyrocketed thanks to Wagner Moura, who was nominated for Best Actor for his brilliant performance as a Brazilian researcher pursued by a mercenary killer. A former teacher aims to escape the country’s ruthless dictatorship with her son by assuming a different name and working with fellow dissidents, but she wonders who she can really trust.

Where to watch: Apple TV, Amazon, Fandango at Home, Hulu

“Emotional value”

Best Supporting Actor nominee Stellan Skarsgård gives a masterclass in Norwegian style in Joachim Trier’s moving Best Picture nominee. He plays an aging filmmaker who aims to make a comeback film that is heartwarming and connects with his family’s traumatic history. However, he is now estranged from his daughters because he prioritized his art over his loved ones. The daughters are a determined stage actress (Renate Rijnsve) and a former child star (Best Supporting Actress winner Inga Ybsdotter Lilleas) who is now trying hard to mend the family’s broken walls.

Where to watch: Apple TV, Amazon, Fandango at Home

“Sinners”

Is it a gangster movie? Hey, that’s right! Is it a vampire movie? surely! Did my Oscar nomination record just disappear? That too! Director Ryan Coogler created a devilish masterpiece with this genre-defying 1930s-set film, which earned him a monumental 16 nominations, including Best Picture, Best Director, and Best Original Screenplay. Michael B. Jordan, nominated for Best Actor, does a great job playing the twins who return home to Mississippi and have their party destroyed by a group of charismatic vampires. Coogler also tackles racism and cultural appropriation in a stunning horror extravaganza backed by Best Supporting Actor nominees Delroy Lindo and Wunmi Mosaku, whose filmmaking is mesmerizing and its message meaningful.

Where to watch: HBO Max, Apple TV, Amazon, Fandango at Home

“Songsong Blue”

Kate Hudson is definitely nominated for an Academy Award for Best Actress, and Hugh Jackman is in full showman mode in this sentimental true-story drama. They play musicians who team up to form a popular Neil Diamond tribute act, and the icon’s songs inspire the couple as they must navigate personal tragedies and professional ups and downs.

Where to watch: Peacock, Apple TV, Amazon, Fandango at Home

“Train Dream”

Set in the early 19th century, this charming and thoughtful period drama – a Best Picture nominee – stars Joel Edgerton as a quiet lumberjack building railroads in the Pacific Northwest, whose work takes him away from his wife (Felicity Jones) and children for long periods of time. Tragedy and a changing America test his mettle as he struggles to live his life and keep moving forward.

Where to watch: Netflix

‘weapons’

Best Supporting Actress nominee Amy Madigan is one of the many reasons to watch Zach Cregor’s twisted “Barbarian” sequel. A thriller about 17 children going missing in the middle of the night, all pointing fingers at their teacher (Julia Garner), and a town thrown into chaos, has plenty of metaphors to interpret. The provocative, genre-defying horror film boasts irresistible gore, a delightfully dark sense of humor, Madigan playing the creepiest aunt of all time, and a crowd-pleasing finale.

Where to watch: HBO Max, Apple TV, Amazon, Fandango at Home

“Zootopia 2”

The original Zootopia won the Academy Award for Best Animated Film in 2017, and the sequel won the same award at this year’s soiree. Bunny cop Judy Hopps (voiced by Ginnifer Goodwin) and feral fox Nick Wilde (Jason Bateman) are unlikely friends and partners who saved the city of Zootopia, but when a snake is unleashed, they must do it again. The action and comedy will entertain little Oscar fans, and moms and dads will appreciate the fun Disney references and clever pop culture riffs on “The Shining,” “Back to the Future,” and more.

Where to watch: Apple TV, Amazon, Fandango at Home, Disney+

Are there stimulus checks available?

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We can all use some stimulation.

Will I receive a fourth stimulus check from the IRS in 2026? Learn what and when to know about President Donald Trump’s $2,000 tariff dividend status, eligibility, and how to track your refund check amid the Supreme Court’s tariff decision.

The Supreme Court’s 6-3 decision last week ruled that President Donald Trump’s sweeping tariffs were illegal and exceeded his authority under federal law, prompting the president to call the majority of the justices “a disgrace to our country.”

However, the Supreme Court’s decision did not address the question of when or how the billions of dollars in duties already paid would be refunded.

Some Democratic lawmakers, including California Gov. Gavin Newsom and Illinois Gov. J.B. Pritzker, are demanding rebates of at least $1,700 per household, and Pritzker reportedly sent the Trump administration a bill for households in the state.

“For more than a year, Donald Trump has been illegally taxing groceries, furniture, and cars. It’s time for a refund,” Newsom said.

Mr. Newsom and Mr. Pritzker’s demand for tariff refunds reflects a similar concept that Mr. Trump himself has promised Americans since last year: $2,000 in tariff dividends to be paid to “middle-income and low-income people” from “hundreds of millions of dollars” raised in tariff revenue expected to be issued in 2026.

Will there be a fourth stimulus check?

President Trump has vowed to issue dividend checks to “moderate income individuals” in 2026, before the midterm elections.

However, to date, no approval has been received from Congress or the IRS for this or any other fourth stimulus check.

There were three previous stimulus checks related to the coronavirus-era economic stimulus program, the third and final of which had an April 15, 2025 application deadline. The opportunity to claim or submit for all three stimulus checks has already passed.

Speculation about a fourth stimulus check has surfaced on social media and unverified websites, but there has been no official confirmation from Congress or the IRS to support this claim, and such news should be taken with caution due to the potential for misinformation or attempted fraud.

Will we receive a stimulus check in 2026?

President Trump vowed to issue tariff dividend checks to “middle-income and low-income people” from “hundreds of millions of dollars” raised in tariff revenue. However, after the Supreme Court’s ruling on February 20, these revenues have been called into question.

The president quickly reacted to the Supreme Court’s tariff decision last week by signing an executive order imposing tariffs worldwide under Section 122 of the Trade Act of 1974, then raising the tariffs again to 15%. The bill would allow the president to impose tariffs of up to 15% for up to 150 days to address the budget deficit, after which Congress would need to approve them.

To date, there has been no order from the Supreme Court or approval of tax refunds or such stimulus checks from Congress or the IRS.

The IRS previously sent out most stimulus checks. To see past payments, check your IRS online account.

When will I receive my $2,000 customs dividend check? Eligibility

President Trump’s promise to pay $2,000 in tariff dividends to “middle- and low-income Americans” from “hundreds of millions of dollars” collected in tariff revenue has not yet become a formal proposal, despite the president’s promise to make the payments in 2026, before the midterm elections.

There has been no order from the Supreme Court or Congress about how, when, or to whom the billions of dollars in duties already paid will be refunded.

Where can I find my federal tax refund?

If you file your federal taxes electronically and include your banking information, you can expect your money to be deposited directly within 21 days. If you do not enter your banking information, you may receive a paper check in the mail within 6-8 weeks.

Filing a return is not the same as having it accepted by the IRS. Once approved, you’ll know it’s been approved when you see a “Refund Sent” alert when you check the status of your tax return online. At this point, you don’t have to wait too long for the funds to appear in your account.

Once the IRS approves your refund, it may be deposited into your bank account within a few days via a direct deposit option.

The IRS has an online tool called “Where’s My Refund” that you can use to check the status of your refund. click here.

You can begin checking your refund status within 24 hours of electronically filing your return. Refund information is updated once a day and overnight on the IRS website.

The online tool requires you to enter your social security number, filing status, and exact refund amount on your return. We will then respond by accepting (processing) your return, approving your refund (we are preparing to issue your refund by the date indicated), or sending your refund (by bank or by mail).

Again, once the IRS indicates that your refund has been approved, you may receive your money back in your bank account within a few days via the direct deposit option.

Another way to check your status is to call the IRS at 800-829-1954.

Where is my state tax refund?

Most states have a dedicated online portal for tracking your income tax return.

Click here to check your state tax refund on New Jersey’s online portal.

March Madness metrics unclear for eight men’s teams

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March Madness upsets don’t start when the game starts.

In fact, much of the anger and anxiety for some programs and fans begins weeks before the tournament’s 68-team field is announced. Such is the nature of the beast that will play a 31-game regular season with 364 Division I men’s basketball programs competing for a limited spot in the NCAA Tournament.

Being looked down upon is inevitable. Anger toward the team’s seeding is to be expected. If the selection committee adopts advanced metrics, fans will scream about the “eye test.” However, if an eye test is used, fans will scream about that metric.

The committee will combine both to select the entire field of 68 teams. The seven indicators used by the committee are a combination of predictive and outcome-based indicators.

The NCAA Evaluation Tool (NET), KenPom, ESPN’s BPI, and Torvik Rankings are predictive rankings that measure a team’s strength in offensive and defensive efficiency, adjusting for opponent and location.

Meanwhile, KPIs, ESPN’s Strength of Record (SOR), and Wins Above the Bubble (WAB) are more results-based rankings that allow us to judge March records and the difficulty of restarting.

Some teams have a lot of similar metrics by the end of the season, while others have a wider range of results depending on whether they win or lose games. The selection committee will have to weigh them and find the best field among the 68 teams.

This inevitably leaves some fans and the show angry at the snub.

Here are the teams with the most polarizing opinions ahead of Selection Sunday, based on the metrics used in the men’s NCAA Tournament.

March Madness 2025: Most polarizing teams by NCAA Tournament metrics

All rankings are as of Saturday, March 14th

Miami (Ohio) (31-1)

  • Net: 64
  • KenPom: 93
  • BPI: 93
  • Tovik: 87
  • KPI: 53
  • Sol: 29
  • Wab: 38

If the Redhawks are in the NCAA Tournament, there’s no question they can afford to lose the MAC Tournament championship game. Losing in the quarterfinals to a 15-loss UMass team definitely won’t solve Miami (Ohio)’s case.

Despite a perfect 31-0 record in the regular season, a 1-1 record in the conference tournament puts them right on the bubble, far from to the right. But their “wins over the bubble” ranking should be enough to earn them a spot as a regular company.

Auburn (17-5)

  • Net: 39
  • KenPom: 38
  • BPI: 28
  • Tovik: 41
  • KPI: 46
  • Sol: 43
  • Wab: 44

Falling from a Final Four berth to a bubble team is hard for Auburn country to accept. However, although the Tigers won against Mississippi State, they lost to No. 25 Tennessee in the SEC Tournament.

Southern Methodist (20-13)

  • Net: 37
  • KenPom: 42
  • BPI: 42
  • Tovik: 42
  • KPI: 41
  • Sol: 49
  • Wab: 46

On February 21st, the Mustangs had a 19-8 record and the tournament seemed all but over. However, SMU would win one more of its final six games and fall into the bubble, potentially losing to Louisville in the ACC Tournament and being eliminated from the tournament.

SMU started the season 8-0 but finished the rest of the way 12-13.

Central Florida (21-10)

  • Net: 50
  • KenPom: 52
  • BPI: 57
  • Tovik: 54
  • KPI: 28
  • Sol: 37
  • Wab: 36

The Knights would likely need to win a few Big 12 Tournament games to qualify. However, they were unable to compete against No. 1 Arizona in the conference tournament quarterfinals.

Like SMU, UCF started the season on a red hot note with an impressive win over the then No. 1 team and a 17-4 record. However, the Knights lost three straight games and finished their last nine games with three wins and six losses.

Indiana (18-14)

  • Net: 41
  • KenPom: 45
  • BPI: 38
  • Tovik: 34
  • KPI: 69
  • Sol: 50
  • Wab: 52

The Hoosiers were 17-8 just a month ago and seemed like a safe bet to make it into the 68-team field, but they lost six of their last seven games, including two losses to a 15-19 Northwestern team.

So Indiana is probably on the outside looking in at the end of Darian DeVries’ first season as coach. Thankfully it is now a football school.

New Mexico (22-9)

  • Net: 46
  • KenPom: 49
  • BPI: 56
  • Tovik: 52
  • KPI: 44
  • Sol: 64
  • Wab: 58

Like Indiana, the Lobos slumped late, starting 21-6 but losing four of their final six games. That run ended with a 64-62 loss to San Diego State in the Mountain West Tournament semifinals, missing out on an automatic league berth.

Barring a surprise, they won’t hear their names called on Selection Sunday.

Texas (18-14)

  • Net: 42
  • KenPom: 37
  • BPI: 39
  • Tovik: 45
  • KPI: 66
  • Sol: 44
  • WAB: 47

The Longhorns slumped in the final weeks of the regular season, losing five of their final six games, all but one of which were decided by at least 10 points. That includes a 10-point loss to a Mississippi State team that faced them 12-19 in the first round of the SEC Tournament.

Although the predictive metrics are still similar to Sean Miller’s team, they are still widely seen as one of the first four teams to miss the tournament.

South Florida (24-8)

  • Net: 49
  • KenPom: 50
  • BPI: 52
  • Tovik: 51
  • KPI: 36
  • Sol: 53
  • WAB: 59

The Bulls are one of the hottest teams in the nation and have won 10 straight games since defeating Charlotte in the American Conference Tournament semifinals. Given their statistical profile, they will need to win the conference tournament to earn an automatic spot on the U.S. team.

March Madness Bubble Winners, Losers: Bid Thief Change Tournament

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The brackets for the men’s NCAA Tournament are expected to be announced within a day, and the teams in the bubble are starting to sweat it out in earnest to see if they can make it through. There’s only one thing that could make the last 24 hours even more stressful on Saturday, March 14th. It’s a bidding thief.

In conferences where it’s clear who will be in the Big Dance, teams not expected to be in the mix could fight for conference tournament crowns to earn an automatic spot, potentially upending the picture.

This is the worst thing that could happen to a bubble team, and it was implemented on Saturday.

When top-seeded St. Louis lost in the semifinals on a late-game tip-in by Dayton, the Atlantic 10 was the first source of information. The Billikens are tournament-based, and while it was uncertain whether another A-10 team would qualify, it is now certain and will come at the expense of teams on the fringes of the field.

Now, the bubble conversation becomes even more intriguing, showing why it’s so important to get a key win in the final week. Things are changing, with winners and losers emerging ahead of Sunday’s selection.

March Madness Bubble Winners

VCU and Atlantic 10

With St. Louis eliminated, there will be two teams in the Atlantic 10, with the winner of Dayton vs. VCU receiving the automatic bid.

VCU was in a bubble, so it was uncertain whether the conference would have two teams. The Rams will now face a Dayton team they have lost to twice, so they are now the favorites, clearing the way for the Rams to win the tournament title for the second year in a row.

Regardless of the outcome, it’s good news for the Atlantic 10, whose prestige in the sports world has declined. It could have been the first one-bid league in more than 40 years for the second year in a row. The conference will now feature two teams, just as it did in 2024 when Duquesne won the tournament and earned a spot.

And maybe VCU is doing enough in the committee’s eyes that if Dayton wins Sunday there could be three teams in the A-10.

All bubble teams when Ole Miss lost

Ole Miss, ranked 15th in the SEC, was eliminated by Arkansas in the semifinals of the conference tournament, so there won’t be a magical advance to the NCAA Tournament.

It was a breakout that came out of nowhere considering Ole Miss entered the week 12-19 with four conference wins, but the Rebels had compiled three wins in three days. It was the only way to win the conference title, but they played well to force overtime against the Razorbacks. But Ole Miss couldn’t sustain the magic and lost to end any March Madness hopes.

If the Rebels stole the automatic bid, it would have changed the bubble in some crazy ways, but luckily the beleaguered teams were spared any crazy consequences.

march madness bubble losers

SEC

The SEC has a good chance of fielding a maximum of 10 teams, but it’s becoming increasingly difficult to imagine more teams.

The conference had teams Oklahoma State and Auburn on the bubble, with the Sooners coming out on offense late and the Tigers winning big all season despite questionable performance.

To make matters worse, it also affects the state of Texas. The poor end to the season made it more likely the Longhorns would play in the First Four. It’s not a comfortable position as you can easily get left out of the field.

san diego state

There was another potential bid thief from the Mountain West, but this one was rejected.

San Diego State defeated New Mexico State to earn an automatic bid with Utah State. The Aztecs faced the regular season champions, but the Aggies came out strong late in the second half and won easily.

The automatic berth really was San Diego State’s best chance. It was in the bubble picture, but with so many teams trailing behind, it created a true “win-win” scenario. Despite coming as close as they could without clinching the Mountain West title, the outlook doesn’t look good for the Aztecs, with the Mountain West potentially only making it to one team.

‘Buffy the Vampire Slayer’ reboot is dead, says Sarah Michelle Gellar

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After all, “Buffy the Vampire Slayer” will never rise from the dead.

Sarah Michelle Gellar revealed on Instagram on Saturday, March 14, that Hulu has decided not to move forward with its planned Buffy the Vampire Slayer reboot.

“I’m really sad to have to share this, but I wanted you all to hear this from me,” she said in a video message.

USA TODAY has reached out to Hulu for comment.

Gellar was scheduled to reprise her role as Buffy Summers in the sequel to the classic TV series, “Buffy the Vampire Slayer: New Sunnydale,” which was first announced in 2025. The show’s pilot episode was filmed last year and was directed by “Hamnet” filmmaker Chloe Zhao.

In addition to Gellar, the pilot’s cast included Ryan Keira Armstrong and Chase Sui Wonders. In May 2025, Geller shared an emotional video of himself telling 16-year-old Armstrong that he had been cast as the new killer. “From the moment I saw Ryan’s audition, I knew there was only one girl I wanted by my side,” Geller wrote at the time.

Hulu’s decision came as a shock to fans and is a rare example of such a high-profile television project being canceled before it even airs. It’s unclear at this point whether a “Buffy” sequel might happen in another form.

Geller provided no information about the reason for Hulu’s move. However, she thanked Ms. Zhao in the video and said, “I never thought I’d get to wear Buffy’s stylish yet affordable boots again.” He added: “Chloe reminded me how much I love her and how much she means to not only me but to you all. And nothing will change that.”

Geller also seems to have indicated that he’s still open to revisiting the character in the future.

“If the apocalypse really comes, I promise you’ll beep me,” she said.

The original “Buffy the Vampire Slayer” aired for seven seasons from 1997 to 2003, centering on the adventures of Geller’s eponymous vampire slayer and her friends. The reboot will take place 25 years after the original series.

In an interview with USA TODAY earlier this year, Gellar said it was “emotional” to be on the set of “New Sunnydale,” as he never thought he would “play that role again.” She also noted that this show is a continuation of the same universe as the original show.

Geller’s announcement came as he promoted his role in the horror sequel “Ready or Not 2: Here I Come,” which premiered March 13 at the South by Southwest Festival.

Contributor: Alison Moses