Congress will pass President Trump’s sweeping tax policy bill, which will have great consequences for both parties in the 2026 midterm elections.
This is what the Senate removed from the “big beautiful bill” in the Senate
Here’s the rest of Donald Trump’s “Big Beautiful Bill” after the Senate cuts due to the “Bird Rules.”
WASHINGTON – President Donald Trump, who passed away from Congress on July 3, will soon sign the law. Next for Congressional Republicans: Survive the Midterm.
Many Republicans argue that voters feel the economic benefits of their bill and reward them by sending them back to Washington. Democrats say the bill is deeply unpopular and will use it to run through the GOP in the November 2026 election.
History, in this case, support the Democratic debate. Partys that do not hold the White House usually win the House in midterm elections as voters express their dissatisfaction with the new president’s policies. This trend applies regardless of the party of modern history, with a few exceptions.
And the public vote on the Republican bill already shows that voters aren’t excited about it. A Fox News poll published in mid-June found that 38% of respondents supported the law and 59% opposed it. The Quinnipiac, The Washington Post, KFF and Pew’s polls reflect similar sentiments.
“This will cost Republicans the House,” said Rep. Suzan Delbene of D-Washington, chairman of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, who is responsible for helping Democrats maintain their home seats and win.
Democrats have a “script” in 2026
The bill’s Medicaid cuts are expected to leave 118 million Americans uninsured over the next decade. This is the result of deep “damage” increases medical costs for families. Democrats likened the bill to an attempt by Republicans to repeal the Affordable Care Act in 2017, and then Republicans lost 40 seats in the House.
“People want representatives who will stand up for them,” she insisted.
Republicans “written the script” in 2026, said Rep. Jamie Raskin of D-Maryland.
“I’m certainly going to talk about it all the time,” he told USA Today. “So we couldn’t better grasp the way the Republicans serve Donald Trump and our monarchs and oligarchs.”
Democrats aren’t the only ones who have identified Medicaid cuts as a potential political threat.
In a meeting with House Republicans on July 2, Trump said that when GOP leadership wants to scramble to find votes for the package and win Medicaid, Medicare and Social Security, it should not touch on three things, Trump said.
One member reportedly responded, “But this bill touches on Medicaid.”
Post-Medicaid Reduction Campaign
R-Nebraska Rep. Don Bacon represents the swing district and recently announced plans to retire from Congress. He was the opponent of the bill’s Medicaid cut voice, but he said before the vote he would approve the measure to save $141 in taxes per month and pour billions into the defense budget.
Bacon said he believes the Senate version, which implemented deeper cuts in Medicaid, would make it easier for Democrats to paint the package in a negative light during the midterm elections.
“I might have defended the House bill every day. That was easy,” he said. “But in the end, do I want to raise taxes on the middle class? No. I want to fix the defense? Yes.”
Some Republicans are confident they can explain their reasoning to voters, including those who have expressed concern about Medicaid cuts.
Rep. Jeff Van Drew, R-New Jersey, before the vote, claimed that his concerns would be eased by the bill’s provisions and allowed hospitals in his district to continue to lower adequate federal funds.
“We’ve been saying that we have to do this in an intellectual way. I think we were trying to figure out how to do it. We started a few months ago and people were going to wipe out Medicaid. We’re farther away from it.”
GOP’s confident tax cuts carry them
House majority leader Steve Scullies, R-Louisiana, said he believes the bill will support Republicans in the 2026 medium-term elections.
“All Democrats () The House and Senate voted no,” Scullyse said on July 3.
“The Democrats still don’t know why they lost in November. They’ll remind them of that next year when they lose again,” he added.
The bill permanently puts the 2017 income tax cuts implemented during Trump’s first term, and will pour $170 billion in border security funds.
In a memo on the bill, the National Republican Congressional Committee stated plans to argue that Republicans would block “the biggest tax hike of a generation” and would result in an increase in historic funding for border security.
“This vote involved the image of House Democrats being elitist, detached, stinky, and more than anything, not touching on the issues facing Americans in their daily lives,” NRCC spokesman Mike Marinella said in a statement.
“Hospital Republicans are unapologetic at making this vote a critical issue for 2026, and will use all the tools to show voters that Republicans were standing with them.
