Will Trump be impeached? President Trump’s approval rating, 2026 midterm election poll

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Calls for President Donald Trump’s impeachment are growing as the president’s approval rating falls to an all-time low and uncertainty grows over the fate of the Republican Congress in the upcoming 2026 midterm elections. Here are the poll results for today, February 12th.

In addition to the growing calls for Trump’s impeachment, a more organized protest rally will be held next Tuesday, February 17th, called “National Lobbying Day: Impeach Trump and Repeal the Ice.” Rallies are scheduled to take place in front of Congressional offices across the country on the same day to influence local legislatures and demand that Congress impeach Trump, convict him of violating the U.S. Constitution, and remove him from office.

Trump was impeached twice during his first term and was acquitted by the Senate both times.

A third impeachment would likely face significant political hurdles as Republicans currently hold majorities in the House and Senate, but that could change in the 2026 midterm elections.

A Democratic victory in the House of Representatives would give them control of one of the legislative branches of government, making it difficult for President Trump to pass anything that would likely roll back Republican social spending cuts, require more agreements on raising the debt ceiling, or push for impeachment.

Trump warned Republicans during the House Republican adjournment last month that impeachment was likely if the party lost control of the party.

Here’s what you need to know about Trump’s new impeachment, what today’s presidential approval rating shows, and the current interim predictions and odds.

Will Trump be impeached? President Trump’s impeachment probability in 2026

Although Mr. Trump is not currently being impeached, there are discussions and proposals for a House resolution to introduce a third impeachment effort similar to the recent H.Res. No. 939, December 10, 2025. It was tabled by a vote of 237-140.

Impeachment requires a majority of the House of Representatives to approve charges of treason, bribery, and other gross abuses or misconduct against a government official, followed by a two-thirds majority of the Senate to convict and remove the official.

A third impeachment would likely face significant political hurdles, as Republicans currently hold majorities in the House and Senate.

According to Polymarket, betting odds give Trump a 13% chance of being impeached by the end of 2026. Meanwhile, Kalsi’s betting odds give Trump a 6% chance of being impeached by June 1, 2026. There is a 15% chance of this occurring by January 1, 2027, and a 64% chance of occurring by January 1, 2028.

What is President Trump’s approval rating today?

According to RealClearPolling, President Trump’s presidential approval rating has fallen from a record high of 50.5% approval and 44.3% disapproval when he took office a year ago to an all-time low of 42.1% approval and 55.2% disapproval this year, his second term. This is lower than the average approval rating of 42.8% during his first term, and closer to former President Joe Biden’s overall approval rating of 43.2%.

  • According to Rasmussen Reports’ daily poll as of February 12th, President Trump’s approval rating was 45%, up from an all-time low of 43% on December 3rd and 4th.
  • A poll conducted by The Economist and YouGov on February 9 found that 40% supported the move and 57% disapproved.
  • According to Morning Consult’s latest opinion poll, which ended on February 9, the approval rating was 44% and the disapproval rate was 53%.
  • President Trump’s overall favorability rating was 42.1% as of February 12, according to the RealClear Poll, which averages over 14 polling organizations, including Reuters/Ipsos, CBS News, Quinnipiac, and Harvard-Harris., This season has recorded the lowest favorability ratings to date.

Note: Polls are constantly changing, with different polling organizations asking different segments of the population. These numbers reflect polling as of Thursday, February 12, 2026.

When are the 2026 midterm elections?

The midterm elections are Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

According to the latest Economist/YouGov poll on February 9, 39% said they would vote for the Democratic candidate, 31% said they would vote for the Republican candidate, and 30% said they were either unsure whether the midterm elections would be held today or said they would not vote.

Polymarket betting odds on who will win the 2026 midterm elections show 47% favoring a Republican victory in the Senate and a Democratic victory in the House. Republicans currently control both the Senate and the House of Representatives.

Note: Voting and odds are always changing. These numbers reflect voting and odds as of Thursday, February 12, 2026, 12:00 PM.

Maria Francis is a journalist with the Mid-Atlantic Connect team based in Pennsylvania.

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