Hurricane Hanbert continues to be strengthened in the Atlantic, but storms are not the most dangerous to the US coast.
The rare double storm of Humbel Aimelda causes a hurricane risk in the US
A rare weather setup has been formed in the Atlantic Ocean, with two tropical systems likely to develop dangerously close to each other early next week.
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Hurricane Hanbert continues to be strengthened in the Atlantic and is projected to become a major hurricane at wind speeds of 130 mph, but storms are not the most dangerous to the US coast.
No, the storm that US residents must worry most is not even the nominated storm yet, but it is predicted to soon become the tropical storm Imelda. The National Hurricane Centre is scheduled to begin issuing system recommendations as a potential tropical cyclone at 5pm on September 26th.
It’s not tropical that millions of people are growing concern for Carolina and Virginia. There is a slight risk of excessive rainfall before the storm in what the National Weather Service calls its predecessor rain event. If that sounds familiar, it’s because similar events took place in the mountainous regions of North Carolina and Tennessee a year ago before Helen arrived.
A cold front sitting on top of the Appalachians is showering, allowing rain to continue to be produced through the weekend, and by September 28 most of the rainfall will slowly move eastward, said Scott Cleebauer, a meteorologist at the Weather Prediction Center.
By then, Kleabauer said the East Carolina showers and thunderstorms could begin to pull early bits of tropical moisture in front of the approaching tropical system.
To make it clear, the Weather Service is not predicting extreme rainfall like Helen, but urges residents to expect heavy rain, particularly in southeastern North Carolina and the coast of South Carolina.
Meanwhile, Humbel is predicted to remain in the ocean, but could quickly affect Imelda’s path through a weather process known as the Fujisui Effect.
How all weather systems moving across larger regions interact with each other will affect the extent of the impact that the storm could have on the US East Coast, the Bahamas and potentially Bermuda in the coming days. However, the risks to coastal impacts between Florida and North Carolina are increasing, Michael Brennan, director of the National Hurricane Center, said on the evening of September 25th.
What is the prediction for 94L?
“Showers and thunderstorms continue to show signs of organization related to Hispaniola and tropical wave #94L near eastern Cuba,” the Hurricane Centre said on the morning of September 26th.
“There remains a significant amount of uncertainty in the long-distance tracks and strength of the system, but there is a great risk of wind, rainfall and storm surge impacts on parts of the Southeastern American coast early next week,” the Hurricane Centre said.
In Charleston, South Carolina, National Weather Service meteorologist Blair Holloway said on the morning of September 26 that confidence in the storm forecast “has not grown or changed since yesterday (September 25).
“There remains a considerable amount of uncertainty, including development, trajectory, strength, timing and potential impacts,” Holloway said.
Will it be attacked by the US? Is it another Helen?
“The majority of (model) solutions are not overwhelming, but will turn the system towards Carolina by around Tuesday,” Houston-based meteorologist Matt Lanza said on September 26th that “eye walls” were “eyeworthy.”
“People who are confident in what exactly happens at this point are probably not being honest with themselves (or you),” he added.
Heavy rain could ultimately become Imelda’s main calling card. “There’s real potential here for rainmakers in Carolina, especially North Carolina,” Lanza said. “Readers there will certainly and certainly be worried that this could turn out to be another Hurricane Helen-like event. For now, I don’t think that’s unlikely as it appears that the strongest rains are east of the area most affected by Helen.
For now, NOAA forecasts 6-10 inches of rainfall in the hardest hit areas, but this is far from reaching Helen levels, not a picnic.
Hurricane Hanbert expected it to be the third major hurricane of the season
At 11am on September 26th, Humbelt was in the heart of about 450 miles northeast of North Leeward, moving northwest with a sustained wind of 90 mph.
For now, Humbel is predicted to follow a similar pattern to Erin traveling between the US and Bermuda, but Humbel strengthening increases the risk of long periods of inflation that can put the oceans at risk along the US coast, the Hurricane Center said. The exact tracks on Humberto are uncertain and are linked to the future of the local Imelda and other weather systems.
According to the Hurricane Center, Humbert is projected to become a major hurricane with wind speeds of 145 mph, about 1,100 miles east-southeast of Miami. If so, Phil Crozbach, a hurricane researcher at Colorado State University, said the Atlantic would be “three” in this year’s hurricane, with Erin and Gabriel both becoming major hurricanes.
He said when the first three hurricanes of the Atlantic Hurricane season reached 1935 levels.
