Valentine’s Day weekend forecast calls for “major storms” in the south and east

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Forecasters said the massive storm could bring heavy rain across the region, with a wet and possibly snowy Valentine’s Day weekend in store for people in the South and Northeast.

“Wide-spread precipitation is expected to develop on Friday (Feb. 13) and Saturday (Feb. 14), spreading rapidly across the south-central states and reaching the east by Sunday (Feb. 15),” the National Weather Service predicted in an online forecast discussion starting Feb. 10.

AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Alex Sosnowski agreed, writing in a Feb. 10 online forecast that “significant storms will develop across the central and eastern United States over the weekend and Valentine’s Day weekend.”

He added: “Snow and ice are expected on the northern side of the storm, but one of the biggest concerns is heavy rain and thunderstorms impacting the south-central and southeastern United States.”

Excessive rainfall, risk of bad weather

The National Weather Service is also concerned, putting parts of the region, especially Oklahoma and Arkansas, at “marginal” risk of excessive rainfall.

“There is a growing consensus that moderate to heavy rainfall is possible over portions of the Southern Plains and Mississippi Valley on Friday (Feb. 13) and Saturday (Feb. 14),” the weather service said.

In addition, the Storm Prediction Center, which monitors severe weather such as tornadoes, said, “Some low-level heavy rain is possible over parts of Texas from Friday night (February 13) through Saturday (February 14) and into the Lower Mississippi River/Deep South from Saturday night (Feb. 14) through Sunday (February 15).”

How much rain is likely to fall?

The storm could bring 1 to 4 inches of rain to parts of Texas and Oklahoma, as well as parts of Georgia and the Carolinas, from Friday, Feb. 13 to Sunday, Feb. 15, according to AccuWeather. The storm will begin in the Plains states on Friday, Feb. 13, and will spread eastward into the southern Appalachians over the weekend, Sosnowski said.

“Many areas could experience complete flooding, and this storm could bring that,” he said.

Snow in the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast?

The weather service also said the storm could bring snow to the mid-Atlantic and Northeast by the end of the week.

The storm “could move through the Southeast and up and out of the East Coast, resulting in wintry precipitation to the north of the low-pressure system from parts of the mid-Atlantic to the Northeast.”

However, due to the lack of cold air, “confidence about specific and potential impacts remains very low.”

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